THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 331 samples (reference opinions: pass verdicts where the chief and the model agree, on the favourite side, with a gap of at least 1 point; not picks)
Hit rate (final version)
48.8%
331 samples · 95% interval 43.1%–54.5%
Hit rate (first shown)
49.1%
301 samples · 95% interval 43.4%–54.9%
Same-line CLV (final)
-0.1 pt
331 with a same-line closing price
Reference opinions are not picks. The hit rate is computed twice: final version = the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off, settled on the result; first shown = the side and line the first time the market was shown as a reference opinion, settled from the score. Reference opinions never enter the picks hit rate or the day-by-day report.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Reference tab: the final-version reading takes the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off and counts the settled result; the first-shown reading takes the side and line the first time this market was shown as a reference opinion and settles it from the score; pushes and voids count in neither.
The day-by-day report lists picks only; reference opinions stay out of it
History 331 records after filtering
- Nov 08, 2026WinPacersvsNuggetsPoint spread · Nuggets -7.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Nuggets -7.5
- Nov 08, 2026LossSporting CPvsMoreirenseAsian handicap · Sporting CP -2.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Sporting CP -2.25
- Nov 08, 2026LossSporting CPvsMoreirenseOver / under · Over 3.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3.25
- Nov 08, 2026WinBoca JuniorsvsDefensa Y JusticiaOver / under · Under 2.75 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Nov 08, 2026LossValenciavsReal MadridAsian handicap · Valencia +1.75 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Valencia +1.75
- Nov 08, 2026WinRomavsSassuoloAsian handicap · Roma -1.5 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Roma -1.5
- Nov 08, 2026PushGrasshoppersvsLausanneAsian handicap · Grasshoppers 0 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Grasshoppers 0
- Nov 08, 2026LossGrasshoppersvsLausanneOver / under · Over 2.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Nov 08, 2026LossRiedvsLask LinzAsian handicap · Ried +1.25 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Ried +1.25
- Nov 08, 2026WinAlvercavsCasa PiaOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 08, 2026Half winGimnasia M.vsIndepend. RivadaviaAsian handicap · Gimnasia M. +0.25 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line Gimnasia M. +0.25
- Nov 08, 2026WinADO Den HaagvsSparta RotterdamOver / under · Over 3 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3
- Nov 08, 2026LossForestvsMan CityAsian handicap · Man City -0.75 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Man City -0.75
- Nov 08, 2026WinOsasunavsAthleticAsian handicap · Osasuna +0.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Osasuna +0.5
- Nov 08, 2026Half lossOsasunavsAthleticOver / under · Over 2.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.25
- Nov 08, 2026WinFC LuzernvsBSC Young BoysAsian handicap · BSC Young Boys -0.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line BSC Young Boys -0.25
- Nov 08, 2026Half lossFC VaduzvsFC SionOver / under · Under 3.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3.75
- Nov 08, 2026WinOdensevsViborgAsian handicap · Viborg 0 · 57%Reference opinion
Closing main line Viborg 0
- Nov 08, 2026WinRosenborgvsStartOver / under · Over 3.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3.25
- Nov 08, 2026Half lossOrgryte ISvsVasteras SK FKAsian handicap · Vasteras SK FK -0.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Vasteras SK FK -0.25
- Nov 08, 2026LossDegerfors IFvsGaisOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 08, 2026Half winGöztepevsBaşakşehirOver / under · Over 2.75 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Nov 07, 2026WinFortuna SittardvsTelstarOver / under · Over 2.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Nov 07, 2026WinEspanyolvsDeportivoOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 07, 2026LossKVC WesterlovsCharleroiAsian handicap · KVC Westerlo +0.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line KVC Westerlo +0.25
- Nov 07, 2026WinKVC WesterlovsCharleroiOver / under · Over 3 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3
- Nov 07, 2026Half winST JohnstonevsDundeeOver / under · Over 2.75 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Nov 07, 2026LossMainzvsBayernAsian handicap · Bayern -1.75 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line Bayern -2 · Line moved
- Nov 07, 2026WinLeipzigvsAugsburgAsian handicap · Leipzig -1.25 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Leipzig -1.5 · Line moved
- Nov 07, 2026LossMalagavsRacing SantanderAsian handicap · Malaga 0 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Malaga -0.25 · Line moved
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 08, 2026 | Pacers vs Nuggets | Point spread · Nuggets -7.5 Closing main line Nuggets -7.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Sporting CP vs Moreirense | Asian handicap · Sporting CP -2.25 Closing main line Sporting CP -2.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Sporting CP vs Moreirense | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 56% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Valencia vs Real Madrid | Asian handicap · Valencia +1.75 Closing main line Valencia +1.75 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Roma vs Sassuolo | Asian handicap · Roma -1.5 Closing main line Roma -1.5 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Grasshoppers vs Lausanne | Asian handicap · Grasshoppers 0 Closing main line Grasshoppers 0 | 54% | Reference opinion | Push |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Grasshoppers vs Lausanne | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Ried vs Lask Linz | Asian handicap · Ried +1.25 Closing main line Ried +1.25 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Alverca vs Casa Pia | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia | Asian handicap · Gimnasia M. +0.25 Closing main line Gimnasia M. +0.25 | 56% | Reference opinion | Half win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Forest vs Man City | Asian handicap · Man City -0.75 Closing main line Man City -0.75 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Osasuna vs Athletic | Asian handicap · Osasuna +0.5 Closing main line Osasuna +0.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Osasuna vs Athletic | Over / under · Over 2.25 Closing main line Over 2.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys | Asian handicap · BSC Young Boys -0.25 Closing main line BSC Young Boys -0.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | FC Vaduz vs FC Sion | Over / under · Under 3.75 Closing main line Under 3.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Odense vs Viborg | Asian handicap · Viborg 0 Closing main line Viborg 0 | 57% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Rosenborg vs Start | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK | Asian handicap · Vasteras SK FK -0.25 Closing main line Vasteras SK FK -0.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Degerfors IF vs Gais | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 08, 2026 | Göztepe vs Başakşehir | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 54% | Reference opinion | Half win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | Espanyol vs Deportivo | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi | Asian handicap · KVC Westerlo +0.25 Closing main line KVC Westerlo +0.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 07, 2026 | KVC Westerlo vs Charleroi | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | ST Johnstone vs Dundee | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 52% | Reference opinion | Half win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | Mainz vs Bayern | Asian handicap · Bayern -1.75 Closing main line Bayern -2 · Line moved | 56% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Nov 07, 2026 | Leipzig vs Augsburg | Asian handicap · Leipzig -1.25 Closing main line Leipzig -1.5 · Line moved | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Nov 07, 2026 | Malaga vs Racing Santander | Asian handicap · Malaga 0 Closing main line Malaga -0.25 · Line moved | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |