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FC Vaduz vs FC Sion

Swiss Super League· Round Regular Season - 13Finished
FC Vaduz
0:4Sun, Nov 08 01:00Tourbillon
FC Sion

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 6 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:41
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Market verdicts

Version 6 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:41

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

FC Vaduz have averaged 2.8 goals and 1.6 goals conceded per match in their last 5 home matches, while FC Sion have averaged 2.26 expected goals and 1.38 expected goals conceded over their last 10 matches. FC Sion won the sole head-to-head meeting 3-2, so the Asian handicap is slightly tilted toward the away side at +0.75 for FC Vaduz. The recent over/under history around 3.75 leans toward under or push, but FC Vaduz's 2.8 home goals per match and the head-to-head average of 5 total goals are opposing factors, leaving only a slight under lean.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 00:41Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 23:22View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 21:44View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 18:36View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 15:26View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 01:18View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 490 minutes 0-4

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapFC Vaduz +0.75Loss
Over / underUnder 3.75Half loss
Correct score1-1Miss
Total goals2-3Miss

Review

Final score 0-4. Asian handicap FC Vaduz +0.75 → loss; over/under Under 3.75 → half loss; correct score 1-1 → miss; total goals 2-3 → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 03:06