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FC Vaduz vs FC Sion

Swiss Super League· Round Regular Season - 13Finished
FC Vaduz
0:4Sun, Nov 08 01:00Tourbillon
FC Sion

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 15:26
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Price update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 15:26

Data completeness 70%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

FC Vaduz averaged 2.8 goals and 2.26 expected goals per match in its last 5 home matches, while FC Sion averaged 2.2 goals and 2.16 expected goals in its last 5 away matches; however, FC Sion's 1.38 expected goals conceded over the last 10 matches was lower than FC Vaduz's 1.99, so the half-goal line leans slightly toward the away side. The 3.5-goal line is supported for the over by the home and away scoring data and the only head-to-head meeting, a 3-2 result, but both teams have recently recorded several matches below 3.5 goals, limiting the strength of the judgment.

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Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 00:41View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 23:22View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 21:44View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 18:36View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 15:26Current

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 01:18View this version

    Direction unchanged