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Degerfors IF vs Gais

Allsvenskan· Round Regular Season - 28Finished
Degerfors IF
1:2Sun, Nov 08 00:30Stora Valla
Gais

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:10
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:10

Data completeness 95%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Degerfors IF have averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded over their last 10 matches, with Gais at 1.3 and 1.1 over the same period, so the overall recent form supports a weaker lean toward the away side covering a quarter-goal and under 2.5. The home side's 1.78 expected goals per game over their last 5 home matches and the away side's 1.85 expected goals conceded per game over their last 5 away matches clearly constrain the strength of that assessment.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 00:10Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 22:46View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  3. Version 2Price updateNov 07, 2026, 16:06View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 00:43View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

1 - 290 minutes 1-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapDegerfors IF +0.25Loss
Over / underUnder 2.5Loss
Correct score1-1Miss
Total goals2-3Hit

Review

Final score 1-2. Asian handicap Degerfors IF +0.25 → loss; over/under Under 2.5 → loss; correct score 1-1 → miss; total goals 2-3 → hit.

Nov 08, 2026, 02:36