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Orgryte IS vs Vasteras SK FK

Allsvenskan· Round Regular Season - 28Finished
Orgryte IS
0:0Sun, Nov 08 00:30Gamla Ullevi
Vasteras SK FK

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:12
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 00:12

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Vasteras SK FK has averaged 5.3 shots on target and 1.17 expected goals conceded per match over its last 10 matches, compared with 3.3 shots on target and 2.4 expected goals conceded for Orgryte IS. With Orgryte IS receiving 0.25, the assessment leans toward Vasteras SK FK. Orgryte IS has recorded scores of 1-2, 2-2 and 4-2 among its last 5 matches, giving the 2.75 over/under line a slight tilt toward the over, although Vasteras SK FK's actual average of 0.6 goals conceded per match is a constraint.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 00:12Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 22:44View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 19:23View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 00:41View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 090 minutes 0-0

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapVasteras SK FK -0.25Half loss
Over / underOver 2.75Loss
Correct score1-2Miss
Total goals4+Miss

Review

Final score 0-0. Asian handicap Vasteras SK FK -0.25 → half loss; over/under Over 2.75 → loss; correct score 1-2 → miss; total goals 4+ → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 02:36