THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 41 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
51.4%
41 samples · 95% interval 35.7%–66.8%
Current streak
1
Longest losing run
3
Last 30 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Nov 7Sat
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%Nov 6Fri
1 matches · 1 picks · 1 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Nov 5Thu
2 matches · 2 picks · 2 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Nov 4Wed
3 matches · 4 picks · 2 hit · 1 missed · 1 half lost · 0 pushHit rate 57%Nov 2Mon
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 0%Nov 1Sun
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 31Sat
4 matches · 4 picks · 3 hit · 0 missed · 1 pushHit rate 100%- ERECambuur4 : 0GO Ahead EaglesHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.25
- AUTLask Linz2 : 1WSG WattensHit
AUT · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · WSG Wattens +1.5
- EREHeerenveen1 : 0NEC NijmegenHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Heerenveen -0.25
- BLAugsburg1 : 2FreiburgPush
BL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3
History 1,306 records after filtering
- Nov 03, 2026WinGaisvsAIK StockholmAsian handicap · Gais -0.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Gais -0.5
- Nov 03, 2026PushGaisvsAIK StockholmOver / under · Under 3 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Nov 03, 2026PushMjallby AIFvsKalmar FFAsian handicap · Kalmar FF 0 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Kalmar FF 0
- Nov 03, 2026WinMjallby AIFvsKalmar FFOver / under · Under 2.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 03, 2026LossSassuolovsFiorentinaAsian handicap · Sassuolo +0.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Sassuolo +0.25
- Nov 03, 2026LossSassuolovsFiorentinaOver / under · Under 3 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Nov 03, 2026LossGençlerbirliği S.K.vsAlanyasporAsian handicap · Alanyaspor 0 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Alanyaspor 0
- Nov 03, 2026LossGençlerbirliği S.K.vsAlanyasporOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 03, 2026LossVPSvsHJK HelsinkiAsian handicap · VPS +1.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line VPS +1.5
- Nov 03, 2026LossVPSvsHJK HelsinkiOver / under · Under 3.25 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Nov 03, 2026Half winInter TurkuvsGnistanAsian handicap · Gnistan +1.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Gnistan +1.25
- Nov 03, 2026LossInter TurkuvsGnistanOver / under · Under 3 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Nov 02, 2026LossLakersvsRaptorsPoint spread · Raptors +3 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Raptors +3.5 · Line moved
- Nov 02, 2026LossLakersvsRaptorsTotal points · Under 224.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 223.5 · Line moved
Previously recommended Under 227.5 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 10:30) · Withdrawn
- Nov 02, 2026LossWarriorsvsClippersPoint spread · Clippers +2 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Clippers +2
- Nov 02, 2026WinWarriorsvsClippersTotal points · Over 220.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 220.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinLanusvsGimnasia M.Asian handicap · Gimnasia M. +1 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Gimnasia M. +1
- Nov 02, 2026WinLanusvsGimnasia M.Over / under · Under 2.5 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinPacersvsNetsPoint spread · Nets +3.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Nets +3.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossPacersvsNetsTotal points · Over 229.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 229.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinBelgrano CordobavsBarracas CentralAsian handicap · Barracas Central +0.5 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Barracas Central +0.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossBelgrano CordobavsBarracas CentralOver / under · Under 2.25 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Nov 02, 2026Half winNewells Old BoysvsUnion Santa FeAsian handicap · Union Santa Fe +0.25 · 48%Pass
Closing main line Union Santa Fe +0.25
- Nov 02, 2026Half winNewells Old BoysvsUnion Santa FeOver / under · Under 2.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Nov 02, 2026LossSC BragavsFamalicaoAsian handicap · Famalicao +0.75 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Famalicao +0.75
- Nov 02, 2026WinSC BragavsFamalicaoOver / under · Over 2.5 · 49%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinMagicvsCelticsPoint spread · Celtics -2.5 (model-derived line) · 53%Pass
Closing main line Celtics -7.5 · Line moved
- Nov 02, 2026LossMagicvsCelticsTotal points · Over 222.5 (model-derived line) · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 222.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossAthleticvsReal SociedadAsian handicap · Real Sociedad +0.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Real Sociedad +0.5
- Nov 02, 2026Half lossAthleticvsReal SociedadOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 03, 2026 | Gais vs AIK Stockholm | Asian handicap · Gais -0.5 Closing main line Gais -0.5 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Gais vs AIK Stockholm | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 55% | Pass | Push |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF | Asian handicap · Kalmar FF 0 Closing main line Kalmar FF 0 | 54% | Pass | Push |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Sassuolo vs Fiorentina | Asian handicap · Sassuolo +0.25 Closing main line Sassuolo +0.25 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Sassuolo vs Fiorentina | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor | Asian handicap · Alanyaspor 0 Closing main line Alanyaspor 0 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | VPS vs HJK Helsinki | Asian handicap · VPS +1.5 Closing main line VPS +1.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | VPS vs HJK Helsinki | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Inter Turku vs Gnistan | Asian handicap · Gnistan +1.25 Closing main line Gnistan +1.25 | 52% | Pass | Half win |
| Nov 03, 2026 | Inter Turku vs Gnistan | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lakers vs Raptors | Point spread · Raptors +3 Closing main line Raptors +3.5 · Line moved | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lakers vs Raptors | Total points · Under 224.5 Closing main line Under 223.5 · Line moved Previously recommended Under 227.5 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 10:30) · Withdrawn | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Warriors vs Clippers | Point spread · Clippers +2 Closing main line Clippers +2 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Warriors vs Clippers | Total points · Over 220.5 Closing main line Over 220.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lanus vs Gimnasia M. | Asian handicap · Gimnasia M. +1 Closing main line Gimnasia M. +1 | 51% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lanus vs Gimnasia M. | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 50% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Pacers vs Nets | Point spread · Nets +3.5 Closing main line Nets +3.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Pacers vs Nets | Total points · Over 229.5 Closing main line Over 229.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central | Asian handicap · Barracas Central +0.5 Closing main line Barracas Central +0.5 | 51% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba vs Barracas Central | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe | Asian handicap · Union Santa Fe +0.25 Closing main line Union Santa Fe +0.25 | 48% | Pass | Half win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Newells Old Boys vs Union Santa Fe | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 53% | Pass | Half win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | SC Braga vs Famalicao | Asian handicap · Famalicao +0.75 Closing main line Famalicao +0.75 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | SC Braga vs Famalicao | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 49% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Magic vs Celtics | Point spread · Celtics -2.5 (model-derived line) Closing main line Celtics -7.5 · Line moved | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Magic vs Celtics | Total points · Over 222.5 (model-derived line) Closing main line Over 222.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Athletic vs Real Sociedad | Asian handicap · Real Sociedad +0.5 Closing main line Real Sociedad +0.5 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Athletic vs Real Sociedad | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Half loss |