Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Sunderland
0:2Fri, Nov 06 04:00Stadium of Light
Dinamo Zagreb

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapLean
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • 5 analysts: 2 agree · 3 cautious · 0 dissent
  • Version 7 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:49
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 7 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:49

Data completeness 90%
Asian handicapLean
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Sunderland have scored only 0.4 goals per game over their last 5 home matches, while Dinamo Zagreb have scored 1.9 per game over their last 10 matches, making the home side's -1.25 line lean toward Dinamo Zagreb receiving the handicap. The 2.75-goal line is slightly toward under, but Sunderland's 1.69 expected goals per game at home are well above their actual 0.4, so the possibility of improved attacking conversion limits the strength of the under assessment.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 7Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 03:49Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 02:18View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Price updateNov 05, 2026, 17:36View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 11:55View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 05:45View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 04:14View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapDinamo Zagreb +1Win
Over / underUnder 2.75Win
Correct score1-1Miss
Total goals2-3Hit

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap Dinamo Zagreb +1 → win; over/under Under 2.75 → win; correct score 1-1 → miss; total goals 2-3 → hit.

Nov 06, 2026, 06:06