Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League· Round Regular Season - 10Finished
Leeds
1:0Sat, Nov 07 20:30Elland Road
Spurs

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 20:08
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 3 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 20:08

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Leeds United and Tottenham Hotspur have averaged 0.9 and 1.1 goals per match respectively over their last 10 matches, and Tottenham Hotspur have beaten Chelsea and Crystal Palace 2-0 in their latest two matches. The Asian handicap slightly favors Tottenham Hotspur, while the 2.5-goal over/under favors the under. Leeds United have conceded 0.6 goals per match over their last 5 home matches, but their expected goals conceded are 1.64, so the low actual goals conceded may reflect finishing variance. The under lean therefore is not raised to a high-intensity judgment.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 20:08Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 18:41View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

1 - 090 minutes 1-0

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapLeeds 0Win
Over / underUnder 2.5Win
Correct score1-0Hit
Total goals0-1Hit

Review

Final score 1-0. Asian handicap Leeds 0 → win; over/under Under 2.5 → win; correct score 1-0 → hit; total goals 0-1 → hit.

Nov 07, 2026, 22:36