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Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Premier League· Round Regular Season - 10Finished
Leeds
1:0Sat, Nov 07 20:30Elland Road
Spurs

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 18:41
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 18:41

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Over the last 10 matches, the two sides average 0.9 and 1.1 goals per game; Tottenham Hotspur recently beat both Chelsea and Crystal Palace 2-0, so the level ball line leans slightly toward Tottenham Hotspur and the 2.5-goal line toward the under. Leeds United have conceded 0.6 goals per game over their last 5 home matches, but with expected goals conceded of 1.64, the low concession record may include finishing variance, so the under lean is not upgraded to a high-strength judgment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 20:08View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 18:41Current

    Direction unchanged