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Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers

NBAFinished
Grizzlies
103:107Thu, Nov 05 09:00
Pacers

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 07:12
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 07:12

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Grizzlies' recent home games include scores of 136-105 and 134-135, while the Pacers' recent road games include 125-145; on the point spread there is a slight lean toward the Grizzlies -6, and on total points a slight lean toward over 228.5. The Grizzlies' defensive efficiency is 121.9, and the Pacers recently posted a low-scoring 90-98 game; with the efficiency window spanning seasons, both leans carry limited strength.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 05, 2026, 07:12Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 04, 2026, 23:31View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

103 - 107

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadGrizzlies -6Loss
Total pointsOver 228.5Loss

Review

Final score 103-107. point spread Grizzlies -6 → loss; total points Over 228.5 → loss.

Nov 05, 2026, 11:36