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Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers

NBAFinished
Grizzlies
103:107Thu, Nov 05 09:00
Pacers

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 04, 2026, 23:31
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The pick and probability for all 2 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 04, 2026, 23:31

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Recent Memphis home games produced 136-105 and 134-135 scores, supporting the home side at -6.5 and the over at 228.5, although Memphis's -13.6 net efficiency over its last 10 limits the point spread preference. Indiana's recent low-scoring 104-108 and 90-98 results, together with efficiency samples that include games from prior seasons, leave only weak preferences in either direction.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 05, 2026, 07:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 04, 2026, 23:31Current

    Direction unchanged