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Silkeborg vs Lyngby

Danish Superliga· Round Regular Season - 14Finished
1:0Sat, Nov 07 02:00JYSK Park

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 7 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:45
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Market verdicts

Version 7 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:45

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Silkeborg and Lyngby have averaged 2 and 2.1 goals conceded per game over their last 10 matches, with expected goals conceded of 1.98 and 1.76 respectively. Combined with recent high-scoring performances, this supports over on 3 goals, although Silkeborg's average expected goals of only 0.97 limits the strength of the assessment. On the Asian handicap, Silkeborg's home unbeaten run and Lyngby's stronger overall attacking data offset each other, leaving a neutral view.

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Analysis versions (7)
  1. Version 7Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 01:45Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 6Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 00:30View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 5Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 00:11View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 21:10View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 18:07View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 15:10View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  7. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 02:18View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

1 - 090 minutes 1-0

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapSilkeborg 0Win
Over / underOver 3Loss
Correct score3-1Miss
Total goals4+Miss

Review

Final score 1-0. Asian handicap Silkeborg 0 → win; over/under Over 3 → loss; correct score 3-1 → miss; total goals 4+ → miss.

Nov 07, 2026, 04:06