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Silkeborg vs Lyngby

Danish Superliga· Round Regular Season - 14Finished
Silkeborg
1:0Sat, Nov 07 02:00JYSK Park
Lyngby

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underLean
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • 4 analysts: 0 agree · 3 cautious · 1 dissent
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 15:10
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 15:10

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underLean
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Silkeborg has recorded 0.97 expected goals and 1.98 expected goals conceded per match over its last 10 matches, compared with 1.55 and 1.76 for Lyngby, giving the away side the stronger overall attacking output. However, Silkeborg is unbeaten in its last 5 home matches and Lyngby has lost relatively frequently in its last 5 away matches, so the Asian handicap leans slightly toward the home side. On the 3-goal over/under, both sides have reasonable expected goals-conceded figures and Lyngby has continued generating expected goals away from home, producing a lean toward over. Silkeborg's actual home scorelines have been relatively low, however, so confidence is limited.

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Analysis versions (7)
  1. Version 7Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 01:45View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 6Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 00:30View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 5Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 00:11View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  4. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 21:10View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 18:07View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 15:10Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  7. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 02:18View this version

    Direction unchanged