Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Everton vs Coventry

Premier League· Round Regular Season - 10Finished
Everton
3:1Sat, Nov 07 04:00Hill Dickinson Stadium
Coventry

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 8 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 03:48
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 8 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 03:48

Data completeness 90%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Everton scores 1.2 goals per game at home with 1.17 expected goals, while Coventry scores 0.5 per game away with 0.77 expected goals, so the attacking data tilts the 2.75 total slightly toward the under and is not enough to fully support the home side giving 0.75, leaving the receiving side marginally ahead. Coventry's 1.75 goals conceded per game away and recent high-scoring results create counter-risk, so the direction calls are kept at low strength.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (8)
  1. Version 8Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 03:48Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 7Price updateNov 07, 2026, 03:11View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 6Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 02:29View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 5Price updateNov 07, 2026, 01:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 4Price updateNov 06, 2026, 22:11View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 16:20View this version

    Direction unchanged

  7. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 15:20View this version

    Direction unchanged

  8. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 04:09View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

3 - 190 minutes 3-1

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapEverton -0.75Win
Over / underUnder 2.75Loss
Correct score2-0Miss
Total goals2-3Miss

Review

Final score 3-1. Asian handicap Everton -0.75 → win; over/under Under 2.75 → loss; correct score 2-0 → miss; total goals 2-3 → miss.

Nov 07, 2026, 06:06