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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0:2Fri, Nov 06 04:00Giulești
OFI

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:41
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:41

Data completeness 90%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Over the home side's last 5 home matches, it has scored 1 and conceded 0.2 goals per game, although its overall expected goals conceded is 2.71, showing a clear difference between venue-specific performance and the incomplete expected-goals sample. A 0.25 handicap slightly leans toward the away side, while 2.75 slightly leans toward the under; the away side's 1.8 goals conceded per game away and both teams' high goals-conceded samples limit the strength of the assessment.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 03:41Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Price updateNov 05, 2026, 14:36View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 04:19View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapOFI +0.25Win
Over / underUnder 2.75Win
Correct score1-1Miss
Total goals2-3Hit

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap OFI +0.25 → win; over/under Under 2.75 → win; correct score 1-1 → miss; total goals 2-3 → hit.

Nov 06, 2026, 06:06