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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0:2Fri, Nov 06 04:00Giulești
OFI

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 14:36
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Price update · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 14:36

Data completeness 65%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Hapoel Beer Sheva has averaged 1 goal for and 0.2 goals against in its last 5 home matches, while its overall expected goals against stand at 2.71, showing a clear difference between venue performance and an incomplete expected-goals sample. A 0.25-goal handicap slightly favors the away side, and 2.75 slightly favors the under; OFI's 1.8 away goals-against average and the high goals-against samples for both teams limit the strength of the judgment.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 03:41View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Price updateNov 05, 2026, 14:36Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 04:19View this version

    Direction unchanged