THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 301 samples (reference opinions: pass verdicts where the chief and the model agree, on the favourite side, with a gap of at least 1 point; not picks)
Hit rate (final version)
51.0%
301 samples · 95% interval 44.9%–57.0%
Hit rate (first shown)
52.0%
245 samples · 95% interval 45.5%–58.4%
Same-line CLV (final)
-0.1 pt
301 with a same-line closing price
Reference opinions are not picks. The hit rate is computed twice: final version = the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off, settled on the result; first shown = the side and line the first time the market was shown as a reference opinion, settled from the score. Reference opinions never enter the picks hit rate or the day-by-day report.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Reference tab: the final-version reading takes the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off and counts the settled result; the first-shown reading takes the side and line the first time this market was shown as a reference opinion and settles it from the score; pushes and voids count in neither.
The day-by-day report lists picks only; reference opinions stay out of it
History 301 records after filtering
- Oct 29, 2026LossBahiavsSao PauloOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 29, 2026WinFluminensevsInternacionalAsian handicap · Fluminense -0.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Fluminense -0.5
- Oct 29, 2026LossFluminensevsInternacionalOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 29, 2026Half lossSantosvsPalmeirasAsian handicap · Palmeiras -0.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Palmeiras -0.25
- Oct 29, 2026WinAberdeenvsFalkirkAsian handicap · Falkirk +0.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Falkirk +0.5
- Oct 29, 2026LossAberdeenvsFalkirkOver / under · Over 2.5 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 29, 2026WinDundeevsKilmarnockAsian handicap · Dundee -0.5 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Dundee -0.5
- Oct 29, 2026PushGenoavsJuventusOver / under · Over 2 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2
- Oct 29, 2026LossIF BrommapojkarnavsBK HackenOver / under · Over 3.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3.25
- Oct 29, 2026WinDegerfors IFvsVasteras SK FKAsian handicap · Vasteras SK FK 0 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Vasteras SK FK 0
- Oct 29, 2026PushParmavsUdineseAsian handicap · Udinese 0 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Udinese 0
- Oct 27, 2026WinInstituto CordobavsDeportivo RiestraAsian handicap · Instituto Cordoba -0.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Instituto Cordoba -0.5
- Oct 27, 2026LossCoritibavsGremioAsian handicap · Coritiba -0.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Coritiba -0.25
- Oct 27, 2026WinSevillavsOsasunaAsian handicap · Sevilla -0.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Sevilla -0.5
- Oct 27, 2026WinSanta ClaravsBenficaAsian handicap · Santa Clara +1.5 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Santa Clara +1.5
- Oct 27, 2026LossFC CopenhagenvsOdenseOver / under · Over 3 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3
- Oct 27, 2026WinRizesporvsTrabzonsporAsian handicap · Trabzonspor -0.5 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Trabzonspor -0.5
- Oct 26, 2026WinRiver PlatevsRacing ClubOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 26, 2026WinUnion St. GilloisevsCercle BruggeAsian handicap · Union St. Gilloise -1.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Union St. Gilloise -1.5
- Oct 26, 2026LossNacionalvsSC BragaOver / under · Over 2.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 26, 2026WinAldosivivsBelgrano CordobaOver / under · Under 2.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Oct 26, 2026WinGentvsAnderlechtAsian handicap · Gent 0 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line Gent 0
- Oct 26, 2026PushSunderlandvsLeedsAsian handicap · Leeds 0 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Leeds 0
- Oct 26, 2026LossMarseillevsLe HavreOver / under · Under 3.25 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 26, 2026LossRennesvsStrasbourgAsian handicap · Strasbourg +0.75 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Strasbourg +0.75
- Oct 26, 2026Half winKristiansund BKvsKFUM OsloAsian handicap · KFUM Oslo +0.25 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line KFUM Oslo +0.25
- Oct 26, 2026WinKristiansund BKvsKFUM OsloOver / under · Over 2.5 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 26, 2026LossLillestromvsBrannOver / under · Under 3.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3.5
- Oct 25, 2026Half lossSparta RotterdamvsAjaxAsian handicap · Ajax -1.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Ajax -1.25
- Oct 25, 2026LossSparta RotterdamvsAjaxOver / under · Over 3.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3.5
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Bahia vs Sao Paulo | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Fluminense vs Internacional | Asian handicap · Fluminense -0.5 Closing main line Fluminense -0.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Fluminense vs Internacional | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Santos vs Palmeiras | Asian handicap · Palmeiras -0.25 Closing main line Palmeiras -0.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Aberdeen vs Falkirk | Asian handicap · Falkirk +0.5 Closing main line Falkirk +0.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Aberdeen vs Falkirk | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Dundee vs Kilmarnock | Asian handicap · Dundee -0.5 Closing main line Dundee -0.5 | 52% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Genoa vs Juventus | Over / under · Over 2 Closing main line Over 2 | 54% | Reference opinion | Push |
| Oct 29, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Degerfors IF vs Vasteras SK FK | Asian handicap · Vasteras SK FK 0 Closing main line Vasteras SK FK 0 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Parma vs Udinese | Asian handicap · Udinese 0 Closing main line Udinese 0 | 52% | Reference opinion | Push |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra | Asian handicap · Instituto Cordoba -0.5 Closing main line Instituto Cordoba -0.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Coritiba vs Gremio | Asian handicap · Coritiba -0.25 Closing main line Coritiba -0.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sevilla vs Osasuna | Asian handicap · Sevilla -0.5 Closing main line Sevilla -0.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Santa Clara vs Benfica | Asian handicap · Santa Clara +1.5 Closing main line Santa Clara +1.5 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 27, 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Odense | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Rizespor vs Trabzonspor | Asian handicap · Trabzonspor -0.5 Closing main line Trabzonspor -0.5 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | River Plate vs Racing Club | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge | Asian handicap · Union St. Gilloise -1.5 Closing main line Union St. Gilloise -1.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Nacional vs SC Braga | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Aldosivi vs Belgrano Cordoba | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Gent vs Anderlecht | Asian handicap · Gent 0 Closing main line Gent 0 | 56% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Sunderland vs Leeds | Asian handicap · Leeds 0 Closing main line Leeds 0 | 54% | Reference opinion | Push |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Marseille vs Le Havre | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Rennes vs Strasbourg | Asian handicap · Strasbourg +0.75 Closing main line Strasbourg +0.75 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo | Asian handicap · KFUM Oslo +0.25 Closing main line KFUM Oslo +0.25 | 56% | Reference opinion | Half win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Kristiansund BK vs KFUM Oslo | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 52% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Lillestrom vs Brann | Over / under · Under 3.5 Closing main line Under 3.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax | Asian handicap · Ajax -1.25 Closing main line Ajax -1.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax | Over / under · Over 3.5 Closing main line Over 3.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |