THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 35 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
48.3%
35 samples · 95% interval 31.7%–65.4%
Current streak
1
Longest losing run
3
Last 30 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Nov 7Sat
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%Nov 5Thu
2 matches · 2 picks · 2 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Nov 4Wed
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 0 missed · 1 half lost · 0 pushHit rate 0%Nov 1Sun
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 31Sat
4 matches · 4 picks · 3 hit · 0 missed · 1 pushHit rate 100%- ERECambuur4 : 0GO Ahead EaglesHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.25
- AUTLask Linz2 : 1WSG WattensHit
AUT · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · WSG Wattens +1.5
- EREHeerenveen1 : 0NEC NijmegenHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Heerenveen -0.25
- BLAugsburg1 : 2FreiburgPush
BL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3
Oct 28Wed
2 matches · 2 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 0%Oct 26Mon
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%History 1,174 records after filtering
- Oct 23, 2026WinPlzenvsLevski SofiaAsian handicap · Levski Sofia +0.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Levski Sofia +0.75
- Oct 23, 2026WinPlzenvsLevski SofiaOver / under · Over 2.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 23, 2026LossOmonia NicosiavsBenficaAsian handicap · Omonia Nicosia +1.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Omonia Nicosia +1.75 · Line moved
- Oct 23, 2026LossOmonia NicosiavsBenficaOver / under · Under 3.25 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 23, 2026WinCeljevsRed Bull SalzburgAsian handicap · Celje +1 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Celje +0.75 · Line moved
- Oct 23, 2026WinCeljevsRed Bull SalzburgOver / under · Over 3 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Over 3
- Oct 23, 2026WinLech PoznanvsSunderlandAsian handicap · Lech Poznan +0.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Lech Poznan +0.5
- Oct 23, 2026LossLech PoznanvsSunderlandOver / under · Over 2.75 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 23, 2026WinJuventusvsRennesAsian handicap · Rennes +1.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Rennes +1.25
- Oct 23, 2026LossJuventusvsRennesOver / under · Under 3 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
Previously recommended Under 3 (Lean, Oct 22, 2026, 22:56) · Withdrawn
- Oct 23, 2026LossDinamo ZagrebvsNEC NijmegenAsian handicap · Dinamo Zagreb -1 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Dinamo Zagreb -1
- Oct 23, 2026WinDinamo ZagrebvsNEC NijmegenOver / under · Over 3 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 3
- Oct 23, 2026WinSturm GrazvsMarseilleAsian handicap · Sturm Graz +0.5 · 56%Pass
Closing main line Sturm Graz +0.25 · Line moved
- Oct 23, 2026WinSturm GrazvsMarseilleOver / under · Under 3 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 23, 2026WinFerencvarosi TCvsTorreenseAsian handicap · Ferencvarosi TC -1.5 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Ferencvarosi TC -1.25 · Line moved
- Oct 23, 2026LossFerencvarosi TCvsTorreenseOver / under · Under 3 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 23, 2026PushOFIvsLeverkusenAsian handicap · OFI +2 · 55%Lean
Closing main line OFI +2
- Oct 23, 2026WinOFIvsLeverkusenOver / under · Under 3.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.5
- Oct 23, 2026LossUnion St. GilloisevsHapoel Beer ShevaAsian handicap · Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25
- Oct 23, 2026LossUnion St. GilloisevsHapoel Beer ShevaOver / under · Under 3 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 23, 2026LossArarat-ArmeniavsAZ AlkmaarAsian handicap · Ararat-Armenia +1.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Ararat-Armenia +1.25
- Oct 23, 2026LossArarat-ArmeniavsAZ AlkmaarOver / under · Under 3 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 22, 2026PushVillavsVikingAsian handicap · Viking +2 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Viking +2
- Oct 22, 2026Half lossVillavsVikingOver / under · Under 3.75 · 49%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.75
- Oct 22, 2026Half winBayernvsArsenalAsian handicap · Arsenal +0.25 · 56%Pass
Closing main line Arsenal +0.25
- Oct 22, 2026LossBayernvsArsenalOver / under · Under 3 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 22, 2026LossSporting CPvsLask LinzAsian handicap · Sporting CP -1.5 · 56%Lean
Closing main line Sporting CP -1.5
- Oct 22, 2026WinSporting CPvsLask LinzOver / under · Over 3.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.5
- Oct 22, 2026WinIntervsShakhtar DonetskAsian handicap · Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75
- Oct 22, 2026LossIntervsShakhtar DonetskOver / under · Over 3.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.5
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Plzen vs Levski Sofia | Asian handicap · Levski Sofia +0.75 Closing main line Levski Sofia +0.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Plzen vs Levski Sofia | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica | Asian handicap · Omonia Nicosia +1.5 Closing main line Omonia Nicosia +1.75 · Line moved | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg | Asian handicap · Celje +1 Closing main line Celje +0.75 · Line moved | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Lech Poznan vs Sunderland | Asian handicap · Lech Poznan +0.5 Closing main line Lech Poznan +0.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Lech Poznan vs Sunderland | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 50% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Juventus vs Rennes | Asian handicap · Rennes +1.25 Closing main line Rennes +1.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Juventus vs Rennes | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 Previously recommended Under 3 (Lean, Oct 22, 2026, 22:56) · Withdrawn | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen | Asian handicap · Dinamo Zagreb -1 Closing main line Dinamo Zagreb -1 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Marseille | Asian handicap · Sturm Graz +0.5 Closing main line Sturm Graz +0.25 · Line moved | 56% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Marseille | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 50% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense | Asian handicap · Ferencvarosi TC -1.5 Closing main line Ferencvarosi TC -1.25 · Line moved | 50% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC vs Torreense | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | OFI vs Leverkusen | Asian handicap · OFI +2 Closing main line OFI +2 | 55% | Lean | Push |
| Oct 23, 2026 | OFI vs Leverkusen | Over / under · Under 3.5 Closing main line Under 3.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | Asian handicap · Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25 Closing main line Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.25 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar | Asian handicap · Ararat-Armenia +1.25 Closing main line Ararat-Armenia +1.25 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Villa vs Viking | Asian handicap · Viking +2 Closing main line Viking +2 | 54% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Villa vs Viking | Over / under · Under 3.75 Closing main line Under 3.75 | 49% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bayern vs Arsenal | Asian handicap · Arsenal +0.25 Closing main line Arsenal +0.25 | 56% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Bayern vs Arsenal | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sporting CP vs Lask Linz | Asian handicap · Sporting CP -1.5 Closing main line Sporting CP -1.5 | 56% | Lean | Loss |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sporting CP vs Lask Linz | Over / under · Over 3.5 Closing main line Over 3.5 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk | Asian handicap · Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75 Closing main line Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk | Over / under · Over 3.5 Closing main line Over 3.5 | 54% | Pass | Loss |