THE OPEN RECORD

Platform record

Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version

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All tiers Pass Lean Strong

All markets Asian handicap Over / under

Last 30 days · 35 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)

Hit rate

48.3%

35 samples · 95% interval 31.7%–65.4%

Current streak

Longest losing run

Last 30 days

Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.

How it is counted

Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)

Win counts as 1 hit
Half win counts as ½ hit
Loss counts as 1 miss
Half loss counts as ½ miss
Push not counted
Void not counted

The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.

The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.

Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.

Settled picks by day

Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below

Nov 7Sat

2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%

Nov 5Thu

2 matches · 2 picks · 2 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%

Nov 4Wed

1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 0 missed · 1 half lost · 0 pushHit rate 0%

BRAFlamengo3 : 1GremioHalf loss
BRA · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.75

Nov 1Sun

3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%

Oct 31Sat

4 matches · 4 picks · 3 hit · 0 missed · 1 pushHit rate 100%

Oct 28Wed

2 matches · 2 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 0%

Oct 26Mon

2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%

History 1,170 records after filtering

Date	Matches	Pick	Probability	Tier	Outcome
Oct 25, 2026	FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby	Asian handicap · Lyngby +1.25 Closing main line Lyngby +1.25	52%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby	Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25	53%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland	Asian handicap · FC Nordsjaelland -1 Closing main line FC Nordsjaelland -1	52%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland	Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25	53%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Asian handicap · Gençlerbirliği S.K. +0.5 Closing main line Gençlerbirliği S.K. +0.5	51%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.	Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25	51%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Gais vs IFK Goteborg	Asian handicap · IFK Goteborg 0 Closing main line IFK Goteborg 0	51%	Pass	Push
Oct 25, 2026	Gais vs IFK Goteborg	Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75	54%	Pass	Win
Oct 25, 2026	Genk vs Standard Liege	Asian handicap · Genk -0.75 Closing main line Genk -0.75	50%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Genk vs Standard Liege	Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75	55%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Hibernian vs Celtic	Asian handicap · Hibernian +1 Closing main line Hibernian +1	53%	Pass	Push
Oct 25, 2026	Hibernian vs Celtic	Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3	54%	Pass	Push
Oct 25, 2026	FF Jaro vs PK-35	Asian handicap · PK-35 +0.75 Closing main line PK-35 +0.75	53%	Pass	Half loss
Oct 25, 2026	FF Jaro vs PK-35	Over / under · Over 2.25 Closing main line Over 2.25	52%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Inter vs Fiorentina	Asian handicap · Inter -1.5 Closing main line Inter -1.5	51%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Inter vs Fiorentina	Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.5 · Line moved	54%	Pass	Half loss
Oct 25, 2026	Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior	Asian handicap · Excelsior 0 Closing main line Excelsior 0	54%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior	Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75	50%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock	Asian handicap · Mito Hollyhock +1.5 Closing main line Mito Hollyhock +1.5	52%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	FC Tokyo vs Mito Hollyhock	Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75	53%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama	Asian handicap · Kawasaki Frontale -0.25 Closing main line Kawasaki Frontale -0.25	53%	Pass	Win
Oct 25, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama	Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75	51%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba	Asian handicap · JEF United Chiba +0.75 Closing main line JEF United Chiba +0.75	52%	Pass	Win
Oct 25, 2026	Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba	Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75	52%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki	Asian handicap · Urawa -0.75 Closing main line Urawa -0.75	54%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Urawa vs V-varen Nagasaki	Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75	51%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos	Asian handicap · Yokohama F. Marinos +0.25 Closing main line Yokohama F. Marinos +0.25	55%	Pass	Half win
Oct 25, 2026	Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos	Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75	51%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Rosario Central vs Huracan	Asian handicap · Huracan +0.75 Closing main line Huracan +0.75	54%	Pass	Loss
Oct 25, 2026	Rosario Central vs Huracan	Over / under · Under 2 Closing main line Under 2	49%	Pass	Push