THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 41 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
51.4%
41 samples · 95% interval 35.7%–66.8%
Current streak
1
Longest losing run
3
Last 30 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Oct 29Thu
1 matches · 1 picks · 1 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Oct 28Wed
2 matches · 2 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 0%Oct 26Mon
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%Oct 25Sun
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 0%Oct 24Sat
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 23Fri
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 22Thu
3 matches · 4 picks · 1 hit · 1 half won · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 60%- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHit
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Hoffenheim -0.75
- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHalf win
UEL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.25
- UELLillestrom0 : 6Real SociedadMiss
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Lillestrom +1.5
- UELOFI0 : 2LeverkusenPush
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · OFI +2
History 1,310 records after filtering
- Nov 02, 2026WinMagicvsCelticsPoint spread · Celtics -2.5 (model-derived line) · 53%Pass
Closing main line Celtics -7.5 · Line moved
- Nov 02, 2026LossMagicvsCelticsTotal points · Over 222.5 (model-derived line) · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 222.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossAthleticvsReal SociedadAsian handicap · Real Sociedad +0.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Real Sociedad +0.5
- Nov 02, 2026Half lossAthleticvsReal SociedadOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Nov 02, 2026LossJuventusvsNapoliAsian handicap · Napoli +0.25 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Napoli +0.25
- Nov 02, 2026LossJuventusvsNapoliOver / under · Over 2.5 · 55%Lean
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossMarseillevsToulouseAsian handicap · Toulouse +0.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Toulouse +0.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossMarseillevsToulouseOver / under · Over 3.25 · 49%Pass
Closing main line Over 3 · Line moved
- Nov 02, 2026WinCharleroivsRAAL La LouvièreAsian handicap · Charleroi -1 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Charleroi -1
- Nov 02, 2026WinCharleroivsRAAL La LouvièreOver / under · Over 2.5 · 55%Lean
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinValerengavsTromsoAsian handicap · Valerenga 0 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Valerenga 0
- Nov 02, 2026LossValerengavsTromsoOver / under · Under 3.25 · 57%Lean
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Nov 02, 2026LossBoca JuniorsvsRiver PlateAsian handicap · River Plate +0.25 · 51%Pass
Closing main line River Plate +0.25
- Nov 02, 2026WinBoca JuniorsvsRiver PlateOver / under · Under 2.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Nov 02, 2026WinMaritimovsSanta ClaraAsian handicap · Santa Clara -0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Santa Clara -0.25
- Nov 02, 2026PushMaritimovsSanta ClaraOver / under · Over 2 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2
- Nov 02, 2026WinAcademico ViseuvsRio AveAsian handicap · Academico Viseu -0.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Academico Viseu -0.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinAcademico ViseuvsRio AveOver / under · Over 2.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossElchevsValenciaAsian handicap · Elche -0.25 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Elche -0.25
- Nov 02, 2026WinElchevsValenciaOver / under · Under 2.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Nov 02, 2026WinLommel UnitedvsGentAsian handicap · Lommel United +0.75 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Lommel United +0.75
- Nov 02, 2026WinLommel UnitedvsGentOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Nov 02, 2026WinBrondbyvsAarhusAsian handicap · Brondby -0.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Brondby -0.5
- Nov 02, 2026LossBrondbyvsAarhusOver / under · Over 3 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 3
- Nov 02, 2026WinLeccevsGenoaAsian handicap · Genoa -0.25 · 48%Pass
Closing main line Genoa -0.25
Previously recommended Lecce +0.25 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 18:40) · Withdrawn
- Nov 02, 2026LossLeccevsGenoaOver / under · Under 2.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Nov 02, 2026LossLiverpoolvsArsenalAsian handicap · Liverpool +0.25 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Liverpool +0.25
Previously recommended Liverpool +0.25 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 00:43) · Withdrawn
- Nov 02, 2026LossLiverpoolvsArsenalOver / under · Over 2.75 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Nov 02, 2026LossFrankfurtvsHamburgAsian handicap · Hamburg +1 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Hamburg +1.25 · Line moved
- Nov 02, 2026LossFrankfurtvsHamburgOver / under · Under 3.25 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 02, 2026 | Magic vs Celtics | Point spread · Celtics -2.5 (model-derived line) Closing main line Celtics -7.5 · Line moved | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Magic vs Celtics | Total points · Over 222.5 (model-derived line) Closing main line Over 222.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Athletic vs Real Sociedad | Asian handicap · Real Sociedad +0.5 Closing main line Real Sociedad +0.5 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Athletic vs Real Sociedad | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Half loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Juventus vs Napoli | Asian handicap · Napoli +0.25 Closing main line Napoli +0.25 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Juventus vs Napoli | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 55% | Lean | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Marseille vs Toulouse | Asian handicap · Toulouse +0.5 Closing main line Toulouse +0.5 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Marseille vs Toulouse | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3 · Line moved | 49% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière | Asian handicap · Charleroi -1 Closing main line Charleroi -1 | 51% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 55% | Lean | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Valerenga vs Tromso | Asian handicap · Valerenga 0 Closing main line Valerenga 0 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Valerenga vs Tromso | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 57% | Lean | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Boca Juniors vs River Plate | Asian handicap · River Plate +0.25 Closing main line River Plate +0.25 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Boca Juniors vs River Plate | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Maritimo vs Santa Clara | Asian handicap · Santa Clara -0.25 Closing main line Santa Clara -0.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Maritimo vs Santa Clara | Over / under · Over 2 Closing main line Over 2 | 54% | Pass | Push |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave | Asian handicap · Academico Viseu -0.5 Closing main line Academico Viseu -0.5 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Academico Viseu vs Rio Ave | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Elche vs Valencia | Asian handicap · Elche -0.25 Closing main line Elche -0.25 | 50% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Elche vs Valencia | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lommel United vs Gent | Asian handicap · Lommel United +0.75 Closing main line Lommel United +0.75 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lommel United vs Gent | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Brondby vs Aarhus | Asian handicap · Brondby -0.5 Closing main line Brondby -0.5 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Brondby vs Aarhus | Over / under · Over 3 Closing main line Over 3 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lecce vs Genoa | Asian handicap · Genoa -0.25 Closing main line Genoa -0.25 Previously recommended Lecce +0.25 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 18:40) · Withdrawn | 48% | Pass | Win |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Lecce vs Genoa | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Liverpool vs Arsenal | Asian handicap · Liverpool +0.25 Closing main line Liverpool +0.25 Previously recommended Liverpool +0.25 (Lean, Nov 01, 2026, 00:43) · Withdrawn | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Liverpool vs Arsenal | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Frankfurt vs Hamburg | Asian handicap · Hamburg +1 Closing main line Hamburg +1.25 · Line moved | 50% | Pass | Loss |
| Nov 02, 2026 | Frankfurt vs Hamburg | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 50% | Pass | Loss |