THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 30 days · 301 samples (reference opinions: pass verdicts where the chief and the model agree, on the favourite side, with a gap of at least 1 point; not picks)
Hit rate (final version)
51.0%
301 samples · 95% interval 44.9%–57.0%
Hit rate (first shown)
52.0%
245 samples · 95% interval 45.5%–58.4%
Same-line CLV (final)
-0.1 pt
301 with a same-line closing price
Reference opinions are not picks. The hit rate is computed twice: final version = the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off, settled on the result; first shown = the side and line the first time the market was shown as a reference opinion, settled from the score. Reference opinions never enter the picks hit rate or the day-by-day report.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Reference tab: the final-version reading takes the reference opinions in the last version before kick-off and counts the settled result; the first-shown reading takes the side and line the first time this market was shown as a reference opinion and settles it from the score; pushes and voids count in neither.
The day-by-day report lists picks only; reference opinions stay out of it
History 301 records after filtering
- Oct 19, 2026WinTromsovsKFUM OsloAsian handicap · KFUM Oslo +1.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line KFUM Oslo +1.25
- Oct 19, 2026LossTromsovsKFUM OsloOver / under · Over 2.75 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 19, 2026LossMilanvsAtalantaOver / under · Under 3 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 19, 2026Half winBaşakşehirvsGaziantep FKOver / under · Under 3.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 19, 2026WinFC CopenhagenvsAarhusAsian handicap · Aarhus +1 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Aarhus +1
- Oct 19, 2026LossFC CopenhagenvsAarhusOver / under · Over 2.75 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026LossGladbachvsHoffenheimAsian handicap · Gladbach +0.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Gladbach +0.25
- Oct 18, 2026WinLorientvsMonacoAsian handicap · Lorient +0.5 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Lorient +0.5
- Oct 18, 2026LossLe HavrevsAuxerreOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinParis FCvsRennesOver / under · Over 2.75 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinSturm GrazvsGrazer AKAsian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.5 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.5
- Oct 18, 2026LossSturm GrazvsGrazer AKOver / under · Under 2.75 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026LossValerengavsBrannAsian handicap · Brann +0.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Brann +0.25
- Oct 18, 2026LossSandefjordvsLillestromAsian handicap · Sandefjord 0 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Sandefjord 0
- Oct 18, 2026LossHalmstadvsHammarby FFAsian handicap · Hammarby FF -1.75 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Hammarby FF -1.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinOrgryte ISvsGaisAsian handicap · Orgryte IS +1 · 56%Reference opinion
Closing main line Orgryte IS +1
- Oct 18, 2026LossOrgryte ISvsGaisOver / under · Under 2.75 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinCeltavsAlavésOver / under · Over 2 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2
- Oct 18, 2026PushOdensevsBrondbyOver / under · Under 3 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 18, 2026Half lossLeverkusenvsFreiburgOver / under · Over 3.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 3.25
- Oct 18, 2026LossAngersvsMarseilleOver / under · Under 3 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 18, 2026LossBrightonvsPalaceOver / under · Under 3 · 52%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 18, 2026LossLeedsvsMan UtdOver / under · Over 2.5 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 18, 2026LossKocaelisporvsGöztepeOver / under · Under 2.5 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 18, 2026WinRed Bull SalzburgvsSCR AltachAsian handicap · Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 · 54%Reference opinion
Closing main line Red Bull Salzburg -1.25
- Oct 18, 2026WinWolfsberger ACvsWSG WattensOver / under · Under 2.75 · 51%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026Half lossSiriusvsIF ElfsborgAsian handicap · Sirius -0.25 · 53%Reference opinion
Closing main line Sirius -0.25
- Oct 18, 2026LossKuPSvsVPSAsian handicap · VPS +1 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line VPS +1
- Oct 18, 2026WinKuPSvsVPSOver / under · Under 2.75 · 57%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026LossLyngbyvsFC NordsjaellandOver / under · Under 3.25 · 55%Reference opinion
Closing main line Under 3.25
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | Asian handicap · KFUM Oslo +1.25 Closing main line KFUM Oslo +1.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Milan vs Atalanta | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Half win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus | Asian handicap · Aarhus +1 Closing main line Aarhus +1 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladbach vs Hoffenheim | Asian handicap · Gladbach +0.25 Closing main line Gladbach +0.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorient vs Monaco | Asian handicap · Lorient +0.5 Closing main line Lorient +0.5 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Havre vs Auxerre | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paris FC vs Rennes | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 55% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK | Asian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.5 Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.5 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valerenga vs Brann | Asian handicap · Brann +0.25 Closing main line Brann +0.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sandefjord vs Lillestrom | Asian handicap · Sandefjord 0 Closing main line Sandefjord 0 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Halmstad vs Hammarby FF | Asian handicap · Hammarby FF -1.75 Closing main line Hammarby FF -1.75 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Orgryte IS vs Gais | Asian handicap · Orgryte IS +1 Closing main line Orgryte IS +1 | 56% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Orgryte IS vs Gais | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 54% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Celta vs Alavés | Over / under · Over 2 Closing main line Over 2 | 53% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Odense vs Brondby | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 53% | Reference opinion | Push |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leverkusen vs Freiburg | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angers vs Marseille | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Brighton vs Palace | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 52% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leeds vs Man Utd | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 53% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Kocaelispor vs Göztepe | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach | Asian handicap · Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 Closing main line Red Bull Salzburg -1.25 | 54% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 51% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sirius vs IF Elfsborg | Asian handicap · Sirius -0.25 Closing main line Sirius -0.25 | 53% | Reference opinion | Half loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS vs VPS | Asian handicap · VPS +1 Closing main line VPS +1 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | KuPS vs VPS | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 57% | Reference opinion | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lyngby vs FC Nordsjaelland | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 55% | Reference opinion | Loss |