THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 90 days · 41 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
50.7%
41 samples · 95% interval 34.8%–66.5%
Current streak
0
Longest losing run
3
Last 90 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Nov 8Sun
6 matches · 6 picks · 3 hit · 1 missed · 1 half lost · 1 pushHit rate 67%- ARGCentral Cordoba de Santiago1 : 1LanusHalf loss
ARG · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 2.25
- LaLigaAtlético1 : 2BarcelonaMiss
LaLiga · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.5
- EREAZ Alkmaar4 : 3GroningenHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.25
- SWEKalmar FF1 : 0SiriusHit
SWE · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 2.75
- BELGent1 : 0KortrijkPush
BEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Gent -1
- FINHJK Helsinki3 : 3AC OuluHit
FIN · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.5
Nov 7Sat
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%Nov 5Thu
2 matches · 2 picks · 2 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Nov 4Wed
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 0 missed · 1 half lost · 0 pushHit rate 0%Nov 1Sun
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 31Sat
4 matches · 4 picks · 3 hit · 0 missed · 1 pushHit rate 100%- ERECambuur4 : 0GO Ahead EaglesHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3.25
- AUTLask Linz2 : 1WSG WattensHit
AUT · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · WSG Wattens +1.5
- EREHeerenveen1 : 0NEC NijmegenHit
ERE · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Heerenveen -0.25
- BLAugsburg1 : 2FreiburgPush
BL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Over 3
Oct 28Wed
2 matches · 2 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 0%History 1,316 records after filtering
- Oct 21, 2026WinPSGvsBarcelonaAsian handicap · PSG 0 · 53%Pass
Closing main line PSG 0
- Oct 21, 2026LossPSGvsBarcelonaOver / under · Under 4.25 · 56%Pass
Closing main line Under 4.25
- Oct 21, 2026Half lossStuttgartvsAtléticoAsian handicap · Atlético -0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Atlético -0.25
- Oct 21, 2026WinStuttgartvsAtléticoOver / under · Under 3.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 21, 2026LossFC PortovsPSV EindhovenAsian handicap · FC Porto -1 · 55%Pass
Closing main line FC Porto -1.25 · Line moved
- Oct 21, 2026WinFC PortovsPSV EindhovenOver / under · Under 3 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 21, 2026Half lossNapolivsBodo/GlimtAsian handicap · Bodo/Glimt +0.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Bodo/Glimt +0.75
Previously recommended Bodo/Glimt +1 (Lean, Oct 20, 2026, 03:09) · Withdrawn
- Oct 21, 2026LossNapolivsBodo/GlimtOver / under · Under 3 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
Previously recommended Under 3.25 (Lean, Oct 20, 2026, 03:09) · Withdrawn
- Oct 21, 2026LossRomavsSlovan BratislavaAsian handicap · Slovan Bratislava +2.75 · 57%Pass
Closing main line Slovan Bratislava +2.75
- Oct 21, 2026PushRomavsSlovan BratislavaOver / under · Under 4 · 57%Pass
Closing main line Under 4
- Oct 21, 2026LossFenerbahçevsSlavia PrahaAsian handicap · Fenerbahçe -1.25 · 56%Pass
Closing main line Fenerbahçe -1.25
- Oct 21, 2026LossFenerbahçevsSlavia PrahaOver / under · Under 3.25 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 21, 2026WinSabah FAvsDortmundAsian handicap · Sabah FA +1.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Sabah FA +1.75 · Line moved
- Oct 21, 2026Half winSabah FAvsDortmundOver / under · Under 3.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 20, 2026Half lossDeportivo RiestravsUnion Santa FeAsian handicap · Deportivo Riestra -0.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Deportivo Riestra -0.25
- Oct 20, 2026PushDeportivo RiestravsUnion Santa FeOver / under · Under 2 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2
- Oct 20, 2026WinCorinthiansvsVitoriaAsian handicap · Vitoria +1 · 55%Lean
Closing main line Vitoria +1
- Oct 20, 2026Half winCorinthiansvsVitoriaOver / under · Under 2.25 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Oct 20, 2026Half lossNewells Old BoysvsCentral Cordoba de SantiagoAsian handicap · Central Cordoba de Santiago +0.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Central Cordoba de Santiago +0.75
- Oct 20, 2026LossNewells Old BoysvsCentral Cordoba de SantiagoOver / under · Under 2.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.25
- Oct 20, 2026Half winSarmiento JuninvsBarracas CentralAsian handicap · Barracas Central +0.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Barracas Central +0.25
- Oct 20, 2026Half winSarmiento JuninvsBarracas CentralOver / under · Over 1.75 · 56%Pass
Closing main line Over 2 · Line moved
- Oct 20, 2026WinSC BragavsGIL VicenteAsian handicap · GIL Vicente +0.75 · 51%Pass
Closing main line GIL Vicente +0.75
- Oct 20, 2026LossSC BragavsGIL VicenteOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 20, 2026PushGetafevsRayoAsian handicap · Rayo 0 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Rayo 0
- Oct 20, 2026Half winGetafevsRayoOver / under · Over 1.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2 · Line moved
- Oct 20, 2026LossSpursvsCoventryAsian handicap · Coventry +1 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Coventry +1
- Oct 20, 2026LossSpursvsCoventryOver / under · Under 3 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 20, 2026LossParmavsTorinoAsian handicap · Parma +0.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Parma +0.25
- Oct 20, 2026WinParmavsTorinoOver / under · Over 2 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Over 2
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSG vs Barcelona | Asian handicap · PSG 0 Closing main line PSG 0 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 21, 2026 | PSG vs Barcelona | Over / under · Under 4.25 Closing main line Under 4.25 | 56% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Stuttgart vs Atlético | Asian handicap · Atlético -0.25 Closing main line Atlético -0.25 | 53% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Stuttgart vs Atlético | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven | Asian handicap · FC Porto -1 Closing main line FC Porto -1.25 · Line moved | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 51% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt | Asian handicap · Bodo/Glimt +0.75 Closing main line Bodo/Glimt +0.75 Previously recommended Bodo/Glimt +1 (Lean, Oct 20, 2026, 03:09) · Withdrawn | 53% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 Previously recommended Under 3.25 (Lean, Oct 20, 2026, 03:09) · Withdrawn | 50% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Roma vs Slovan Bratislava | Asian handicap · Slovan Bratislava +2.75 Closing main line Slovan Bratislava +2.75 | 57% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Roma vs Slovan Bratislava | Over / under · Under 4 Closing main line Under 4 | 57% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha | Asian handicap · Fenerbahçe -1.25 Closing main line Fenerbahçe -1.25 | 56% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sabah FA vs Dortmund | Asian handicap · Sabah FA +1.5 Closing main line Sabah FA +1.75 · Line moved | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sabah FA vs Dortmund | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 52% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe | Asian handicap · Deportivo Riestra -0.25 Closing main line Deportivo Riestra -0.25 | 54% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe | Over / under · Under 2 Closing main line Under 2 | 54% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Corinthians vs Vitoria | Asian handicap · Vitoria +1 Closing main line Vitoria +1 | 55% | Lean | Win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Corinthians vs Vitoria | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 50% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | Asian handicap · Central Cordoba de Santiago +0.75 Closing main line Central Cordoba de Santiago +0.75 | 54% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.25 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central | Asian handicap · Barracas Central +0.25 Closing main line Barracas Central +0.25 | 52% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central | Over / under · Over 1.75 Closing main line Over 2 · Line moved | 56% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | SC Braga vs GIL Vicente | Asian handicap · GIL Vicente +0.75 Closing main line GIL Vicente +0.75 | 51% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | SC Braga vs GIL Vicente | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Getafe vs Rayo | Asian handicap · Rayo 0 Closing main line Rayo 0 | 53% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Getafe vs Rayo | Over / under · Over 1.75 Closing main line Over 2 · Line moved | 54% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Spurs vs Coventry | Asian handicap · Coventry +1 Closing main line Coventry +1 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Spurs vs Coventry | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Parma vs Torino | Asian handicap · Parma +0.25 Closing main line Parma +0.25 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Parma vs Torino | Over / under · Over 2 Closing main line Over 2 | 51% | Pass | Win |