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San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz

NBAFinished
Spurs
119:97Tue, Nov 03 09:30
Jazz

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 07:42
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 07:42

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Spurs' offensive efficiency over their recent 10 games is 111.7, defensive efficiency is 105.5, and net efficiency is 6.2; the corresponding figures for the Jazz are 106.4, 118.2, and -11.8. However, the current point spread is 16.5 points in the Spurs' favor, and the Spurs won the latest head-to-head meeting 117-111, so the spread lean is toward the Jazz receiving points. The teams' 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 240.2 total points, above the current 228.5, creating a lean toward the over, but the Spurs' 96.9 pace and the Jazz's 106.4 offensive efficiency limit the strength of that conclusion.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 03, 2026, 07:42Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 02, 2026, 22:31View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 09:42View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

119 - 97

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadSpurs -16.5Win
Total pointsUnder 228.5Win

Review

Final score 119-97. point spread Spurs -16.5 → win; total points Under 228.5 → win.

Nov 03, 2026, 12:06