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San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz

NBAFinished
Spurs
119:97Tue, Nov 03 09:30
Jazz

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 22:31
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 22:31

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Spurs recently defeated the Utah Jazz 117-111 and then won 121-111 at home without covering 12.5 points. With the spread now at 16 points, there is a slight lean toward Utah taking the points. The Spurs' pace of 96.9 and 105.5 points allowed per 100 possessions support the under at 231, but Utah's faster pace and the head-to-head average of 240.2 points per game are countervailing evidence. Each side's last 10-game efficiency sample includes 7 games from the prior season, so the strength of both directional assessments is low.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 03, 2026, 07:42View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 02, 2026, 22:31Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 09:42View this version

    Direction unchanged