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San Lorenzo vs Platense

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
San Lorenzo
0:2Sat, Nov 07 06:15Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Platense

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 5 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 05:58
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Market verdicts

Version 5 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 05:58

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

San Lorenzo have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded over their last 5 home matches, with 1.22 expected goals and 0.95 expected goals conceded. Platense have averaged 1.66 expected goals and 1.36 expected goals conceded over their last 5 away matches, creating a divergence between low actual scores and chance quality. Combining the home/away split with overall attacking and defensive output, the Asian handicap leans weakly toward Platense, while over/under 2 leans weakly toward the over. The correct score and total-goals band retain low-confidence views of 1-1 and 2-3, respectively.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 05:58Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 04:26View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Price updateNov 07, 2026, 01:51View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 23:23View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 06:23View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapSan Lorenzo 0Loss
Over / underUnder 2Push
Correct score1-0Miss
Total goals0-1Miss

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap San Lorenzo 0 → loss; over/under Under 2 → push; correct score 1-0 → miss; total goals 0-1 → miss.

Nov 07, 2026, 08:21