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San Lorenzo vs Platense

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
San Lorenzo
0:2Sat, Nov 07 06:15Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Platense

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:51
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Price update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:51

Data completeness 70%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

San Lorenzo has averaged 0.6 goals and 0.4 goals conceded per game in its last five home matches, while Platense has averaged 1.4 for both in its last five away matches. Over Platense's last 10 matches, it has averaged 1.48 expected goals and 4.4 shots on target per game, outperforming San Lorenzo's 0.87 and 3.5. The Asian handicap leans slightly toward Platense, and the 1.75 over/under leans slightly toward the over, although San Lorenzo's strong home defensive record limits the strength of the conclusion.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 05:58View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 04:26View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Price updateNov 07, 2026, 01:51Current

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 23:23View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 06:23View this version

    Direction unchanged