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Göztepe vs Başakşehir

Süper Lig· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Göztepe
1:2Sun, Nov 08 00:00Gursel Aksel Stadium
Başakşehir

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 5 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:44
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 5 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 23:44

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Göztepe has averaged 2.39 expected goals per match over its last 5 home games, while Başakşehir has scored only 0.6 and conceded 2 per match over its last 5 away games; the venue split supports leaning toward the home side at -0.25. The over/under at 2.75 leans slightly toward over, but the away team's insufficient away attack is the main counter-argument, so confidence in the direction is lower than for the Asian handicap.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 23:44Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 23:29View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 22:19View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 16:12View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 00:17View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

1 - 290 minutes 1-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapGöztepe -0.5Loss
Over / underOver 2.75Half win
Correct score2-1Miss
Total goals4+Miss

Review

Final score 1-2. Asian handicap Göztepe -0.5 → loss; over/under Over 2.75 → half win; correct score 2-1 → miss; total goals 4+ → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 02:06