Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles

Eredivisie· Round Regular Season - 12Finished
Excelsior
0:1Sun, Nov 08 04:00Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
GO Ahead Eagles

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 09:50
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 09:50

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Excelsior have conceded 3.8 goals per match over their last 5 home matches and have an expected goals against figure of 2.75, while GO Ahead Eagles have conceded 3.4 goals per match over their last 5 away matches and have an expected goals against figure of 1.86; defensive problems on both sides support a lean toward the over on total points 3. GO Ahead Eagles have averaged 1.62 expected goals and 5.4 shots on target over their last 10 matches, compared with 0.96 and 2.9 for Excelsior, but their away form is inconsistent, so the Asian handicap direction is only a weak lean toward the away team.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (6)
  1. Version 6Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 03:38View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 02:08View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 4Price updateNov 07, 2026, 21:44View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 16:03View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 09:50Current

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 04:09View this version

    Direction unchanged