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Osasuna vs Athletic Club

La Liga· Round Regular Season - 12Finished
Osasuna
1:1Sun, Nov 08 01:30Estadio El Sadar
Athletic

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:46
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 01:46

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The home side averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last 5 home matches; the away side averaged 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded over their last 5 away matches. The two head-to-head meetings ended 1-0 and 1-1, averaging 1.5 total goals, so the home side receiving the handicap and the under have a slight edge, but the away side's 1.6 expected goals per game over the last 10 and the home side's 2.2 goals conceded per game over the last 10 limit confidence.

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Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 01:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 23:55View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 18:59View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 01:46Current

    Direction unchanged