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Vitoria vs Fluminense

Brasileirão Série A· Round Regular Season - 34Finished
Vitoria
0:3Sat, Nov 07 07:00Barradao
Fluminense

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 05:12
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 4 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 05:12

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Vitoria have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game over their last 5 home matches, while Fluminense have averaged 2 goals conceded and recorded a 0% clean-sheet rate over their last 5 away matches. The home side receiving 0.25 has a slight lean, while over/under 2.25 leans toward the over. Fluminense have averaged 1.8 goals per game over their last 10 matches, above their 1.22 expected goals, and the expected goals dataset has missing entries, so both directions retain medium strength.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 06:44View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 05:12Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Price updateNov 07, 2026, 04:01View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 07, 2026, 01:14View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 07:07View this version

    Direction unchanged