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Standard Liege vs SK Beveren

Belgian Pro League· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Standard Liege
3:0Sat, Nov 07 03:45Maurice Dufrasnestadion
SK Beveren

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 19:54
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 19:54

Data completeness 65%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Standard Liege have averaged 2.02 expected goals in their last 5 home matches, while SK Beveren have averaged 2.57 expected goals conceded and 3 actual goals conceded in their last 5 away matches. The home side giving 0.5 goals represents only a low-strength lean. Standard Liege have averaged only 1.2 actual goals in home matches, and the reasons their chance conversion differs from SK Beveren's goals conceded remain unclear. The 2.75-goal over/under is therefore held at neutral.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 03:31View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 19:54Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 03:57View this version

    Direction unchanged