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Standard Liege vs SK Beveren

Belgian Pro League· Round Regular Season - 11Finished
Standard Liege
3:0Sat, Nov 07 03:45Maurice Dufrasnestadion
SK Beveren

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:57
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 03:57

Data completeness 65%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Standard Liege has averaged 2.02 expected goals over its last 5 home matches, while Beveren has averaged 2.57 expected goals conceded and 3 actual goals conceded per game over its last 5 away matches, supporting only a low-intensity lean toward Standard Liege giving 0.75 goals. Standard Liege has averaged only 1.2 actual goals per game at home, and the reasons for the gap between chance conversion and Beveren's goals conceded are unclear, so the 2.75-goal total is currently neutral.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 07, 2026, 03:31View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 19:54View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 03:57Current

    Direction unchanged