Skip to content
Become a memberLog in

Sturm Graz vs Celje

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Sturm Graz
2:3Fri, Nov 06 04:00Stadion Graz-Liebenau
Celje

Unlock the full analysis

Members see every analysis; you can also unlock this match with points, including all versions and the post-match review.

  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 02:16
You get
The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
For how long
Yours to read forever, including every version of this match and the post-match review
Not included
This match's article (10 points) and video (15 points) unlock separately
Log in to unlock · 38 ptsBecome a member

The preview shows the match header, base data and each analyst's summary. An unlock opens this match only and does not change your membership level.

Market verdicts

Version 3 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 02:16

Data completeness 78%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Sturm Graz have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match over their last 5 home matches, while Celje have averaged 2 goals conceded over their last 5 away matches, indicating an attacking advantage for the home side. However, Sturm Graz's recent 1-1, 2-2 and 1-0 results mean the home side giving one goal and a total of 3 goals both remain neutral assessments. The low-intensity score lean is 2-1, while the goals band lean is 2-3, without using these to replace directional market judgments.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (4)
  1. Version 4Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 03:46View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 02:16Current

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 2Price updateNov 05, 2026, 17:36View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 04:11View this version

    Direction unchanged