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Celtic vs Beşiktaş

UEFA Europa League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Celtic
3:2Fri, Nov 06 04:00Celtic Park
Beşiktaş

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 04:12
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 04:12

Data completeness 65%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Celtic have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.8 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Beşiktaş have scored 1.8 and conceded 2 per game in their last 5 away matches. Both sides recorded a 0 clean-sheet rate in those venue-specific windows, creating an overall lean toward the over at the total-goals line of 3. Beşiktaş have scored 2.2 and conceded 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches, indicating stronger actual attacking and defensive performance, but Celtic's chance-creation data provides a counter-argument, leaving only a weak lean toward Beşiktaş -0.25.

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Analysis versions (5)
  1. Version 5Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 03:44View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 06, 2026, 03:16View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 02:23View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 14:45View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 04:12Current

    Direction unchanged