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Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns

NBAFinished
Warriors
116:113Tue, Nov 03 11:00
Suns

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 22:34
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 22:34

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Golden State’s net efficiency over the last 10 games is 1.9, compared with -4.8 for Phoenix, and recent 112-95, 119-114 and 134-114 results support a lean toward Golden State -3. For total points, the 212.4 points-per-game average across head-to-head meetings supports a lower total, but Phoenix’s recent 120-127 and 114-125 results point the other way, leaving a neutral view on 228 points.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 02, 2026, 22:34Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 11:16View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

116 - 113

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadSuns +3Push
Total pointsUnder 228Loss

Review

Final score 116-113. point spread Suns +3 → push; total points Under 228 → loss.

Nov 03, 2026, 14:06