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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

NBAFinished
120:127Sat, Oct 31 10:00

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 08:19
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Oct 31, 2026, 08:19

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Phoenix’s net efficiency over the last 10 games is -3.5, compared with Denver’s -2.2. Phoenix’s offensive efficiency of 113.1 and rebounding rate of 0.499 are higher than Denver’s 112.2 and 0.468, but the head-to-head summary shows Denver winning 3 games and the home team winning 0. For total points, the head-to-head average of 244.67 is above the 231.5 line, but recent over/under results are missing, so both markets remain neutral.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Oct 31, 2026, 08:19Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Oct 30, 2026, 10:12View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

120 - 127

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadSuns +4Loss
Total pointsUnder 231.5Loss

Review

Final score 120-127. point spread Suns +4 → loss; total points Under 231.5 → loss.

Oct 31, 2026, 12:36