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Brest vs Lyon

Ligue 1· Round Regular Season - 10Scheduled
Brest
Mon, Nov 0900:15Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Lyon

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 09:09
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 09:09

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Brest has averaged 2.45 expected goals per game over its last 5 home matches, while Lyon has managed only 1.01 over its last 5 away matches, so the Asian handicap leans toward the home team. Brest's strong home chance creation and Lyon's 1.8 away goals conceded per game support the over at the 2.75 line, but Lyon's 0.8 away goals per game limits the strength of the judgment. The score candidate is 1-1, and the goals band leans toward 2-3 goals.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 08, 2026, 09:09Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 08, 2026, 00:29View this version

    Direction unchanged