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Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga· Round Regular Season - 9Scheduled
Köln
Sun, Nov 0822:30RheinEnergieStadion
Leverkusen

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:52
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 22:52

Data completeness 88%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Köln have an expected goals conceded figure of 1.23 over their last 5 home matches, while Bayer Leverkusen have an expected goals scored figure of 2.68 over their last 5 away matches, with home defending and away attacking output forming the main disagreement. Based on Köln’s recent 1-1 and 0-0 results and Bayer Leverkusen’s recent 0-1 and 0-3 results, there is a slight lean toward Köln +0.75 and the under 3.25, with the score leaning toward 1-2 and the goals band toward 2-3, but the conviction is limited.

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Analysis versions (1)
  1. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 22:52Current

    Direction unchanged