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Aldosivi vs River Plate

Liga Profesional Argentina· Round Clausura - 16Finished
Aldosivi
0:2Fri, Nov 06 02:00Estadio Jose Maria Minella
River Plate

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 01:41
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 06, 2026, 01:41

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Aldosivi has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over its last 5 home matches, while River Plate has recently recorded several 1-0 and 1-1 results. The current Aldosivi +1.25 line therefore leans toward the home side. The over/under 2.5 line is only slightly skewed toward the over: Aldosivi's 1.94 expected goals conceded over its last 10 matches supports that view, but its 0.79 expected goals per game at home and River Plate's recent low-scoring results limit the strength of the assessment.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 06, 2026, 01:41Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 06, 2026, 00:19View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 05, 2026, 02:14View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 290 minutes 0-2

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapAldosivi +1.25Loss
Over / underOver 2.5Loss
Correct score1-2Miss
Total goals2-3Hit

Review

Final score 0-2. Asian handicap Aldosivi +1.25 → loss; over/under Over 2.5 → loss; correct score 1-2 → miss; total goals 2-3 → hit.

Nov 06, 2026, 04:06