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Aberdeen vs Hibernian

Scottish Premiership· Round Regular Season - 13Finished
Aberdeen
0:4Sun, Nov 08 01:45Pittodrie Stadium
Hibernian

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 3 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 01:23
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 3 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 01:23

Data completeness 100%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Aberdeen have averaged 0.6 goals and 1.32 expected goals per match in their last 5 home games, while Hibernian's corresponding away figures are 1.2 and 1.62, resulting in a slight lean toward the visitors on the Asian handicap. Both teams have averaged 1 goal and 3.5 shots on target per match over their last 10 games, with the 2.5-goal line leaning toward under. Actual goals have been lower than the level of chance creation, while Hibernian's 1.77 expected goals conceded away limits the strength of the assessment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 3Lineup updateNov 08, 2026, 01:23Current

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  2. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 00:16View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

0 - 490 minutes 0-4

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapHibernian 0Win
Over / underOver 2.5Win
Correct score1-2Miss
Total goals2-3Miss

Review

Final score 0-4. Asian handicap Hibernian 0 → win; over/under Over 2.5 → win; correct score 1-2 → miss; total goals 2-3 → miss.

Nov 08, 2026, 03:51