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Viking vs Sabah FA

UEFA Champions League· Round League Stage - 4Finished
Viking
4:1Thu, Nov 05 04:00SR-Bank Arena
Sabah FA

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  • Asian handicapPublished
  • Over / underPublished
  • Correct scorePublished
  • Total goalsPublished
  • Version 7 · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 03:46
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The pick and probability for all 4 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 7 · Lineup update · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 03:46

Data completeness 90%
Asian handicapPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Over / underPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Correct scorePublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total goalsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Viking have averaged 4 goals and 1.4 goals conceded per game in their last 5 home matches, with all 5 total-goals market results in that run going over. Sabah FA have averaged 1.2 goals and 1.8 goals conceded per game in their last 5 away matches. Viking's actual goals per game over their last 10 matches, 2.7, exceed their expected goals of 1.77, while Sabah FA's actual goals conceded per game of 1.3 are below their 2.9 expected goals conceded. Combined with the current lines, this points toward Sabah FA receiving one-and-a-half goals/one goal and over 3.5, although data missing for Sabah FA's away expected goals limits the strength of that view.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (7)
  1. Version 7Lineup updateNov 05, 2026, 03:46Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 6Price updateNov 05, 2026, 03:01View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 5Update (2h before)Nov 05, 2026, 02:39View this version

    Direction unchanged

  4. Version 4Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 02:19View this version

    Direction unchanged

  5. Version 3Price updateNov 04, 2026, 22:46View this version

    Direction unchanged

  6. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 04, 2026, 19:53View this version

    Direction unchanged

  7. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 04, 2026, 04:08View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

4 - 190 minutes 4-1

MarketPickOutcome
Asian handicapSabah FA +1.25Loss
Over / underOver 3.5Win
Correct score2-2Miss
Total goals4+Hit

Review

Final score 4-1. Asian handicap Sabah FA +1.25 → loss; over/under Over 3.5 → win; correct score 2-2 → miss; total goals 4+ → hit.

Nov 05, 2026, 06:06