THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 90 days · 48 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
54.2%
48 samples · 95% interval 39.4%–68.4%
Current streak
0
Longest losing run
3
Last 90 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Oct 22Thu
3 matches · 4 picks · 1 hit · 1 half won · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 60%- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHit
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Hoffenheim -0.75
- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHalf win
UEL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.25
- UELLillestrom0 : 6Real SociedadMiss
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Lillestrom +1.5
- UELOFI0 : 2LeverkusenPush
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · OFI +2
Oct 21Wed
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 0%Oct 20Tue
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 0%Oct 19Mon
1 matches · 1 picks · 1 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Oct 18Sun
5 matches · 5 picks · 1 hit · 2 half won · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%- Serie AJuventus0 : 3LazioMiss
Serie A · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 2.5
- TURBaşakşehir2 : 1Gaziantep FKHalf win
TUR · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Başakşehir -0.75
- NORMolde6 : 1StartMiss
NOR · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.5
- NORSandefjord0 : 2LillestromHit
NOR · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3
- AUTRed Bull Salzburg3 : 0SCR AltachHalf win
AUT · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.25
History 1,468 records after filtering
- Oct 19, 2026WinNEC NijmegenvsFortuna SittardAsian handicap · Fortuna Sittard +0.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Fortuna Sittard +0.75
- Oct 19, 2026WinNEC NijmegenvsFortuna SittardOver / under · Over 3.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.25
- Oct 19, 2026WinTwentevsUtrechtAsian handicap · Utrecht +1.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Utrecht +1.5
- Oct 19, 2026Half winTwentevsUtrechtOver / under · Under 3.25 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 19, 2026Half winRacing ClubvsIndependienteAsian handicap · Independiente +0.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Independiente +0.25
- Oct 19, 2026PushRacing ClubvsIndependienteOver / under · Over 2 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2
- Oct 19, 2026WinTromsovsKFUM OsloAsian handicap · KFUM Oslo +1.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line KFUM Oslo +1.25
- Oct 19, 2026LossTromsovsKFUM OsloOver / under · Over 2.75 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 19, 2026LossMalagavsReal SociedadAsian handicap · Malaga +0.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Malaga +0.25
- Oct 19, 2026WinMalagavsReal SociedadOver / under · Over 2.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 19, 2026Half lossMilanvsAtalantaAsian handicap · Atalanta +0.75 · 49%Pass
Closing main line Atalanta +0.75
- Oct 19, 2026LossMilanvsAtalantaOver / under · Under 3 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Under 3
- Oct 19, 2026Half winBaşakşehirvsGaziantep FKAsian handicap · Başakşehir -0.75 · 57%Lean
Closing main line Başakşehir -0.75
- Oct 19, 2026Half winBaşakşehirvsGaziantep FKOver / under · Under 3.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 19, 2026WinFC CopenhagenvsAarhusAsian handicap · Aarhus +1 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Aarhus +1
- Oct 19, 2026LossFC CopenhagenvsAarhusOver / under · Over 2.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026LossGladbachvsHoffenheimAsian handicap · Gladbach +0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Gladbach +0.25
- Oct 18, 2026WinGladbachvsHoffenheimOver / under · Under 3.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.5 · Line moved
- Oct 18, 2026PushForestvsArsenalAsian handicap · Forest +1 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Forest +1
- Oct 18, 2026WinForestvsArsenalOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 18, 2026WinLorientvsMonacoAsian handicap · Lorient +0.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Lorient +0.5
- Oct 18, 2026LossLorientvsMonacoOver / under · Over 2.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.5
- Oct 18, 2026WinLe HavrevsAuxerreAsian handicap · Auxerre +0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Auxerre +0.25
- Oct 18, 2026LossLe HavrevsAuxerreOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinParis FCvsRennesAsian handicap · Paris FC -0.25 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Paris FC -0.25
- Oct 18, 2026WinParis FCvsRennesOver / under · Over 2.75 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026WinSturm GrazvsGrazer AKAsian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.5
- Oct 18, 2026LossSturm GrazvsGrazer AKOver / under · Under 2.75 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 18, 2026LossValerengavsBrannAsian handicap · Brann +0.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Brann +0.25
- Oct 18, 2026WinValerengavsBrannOver / under · Over 3.5 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.5
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard | Asian handicap · Fortuna Sittard +0.75 Closing main line Fortuna Sittard +0.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Twente vs Utrecht | Asian handicap · Utrecht +1.5 Closing main line Utrecht +1.5 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Twente vs Utrecht | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 50% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Racing Club vs Independiente | Asian handicap · Independiente +0.25 Closing main line Independiente +0.25 | 54% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Racing Club vs Independiente | Over / under · Over 2 Closing main line Over 2 | 54% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | Asian handicap · KFUM Oslo +1.25 Closing main line KFUM Oslo +1.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Malaga vs Real Sociedad | Asian handicap · Malaga +0.25 Closing main line Malaga +0.25 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Malaga vs Real Sociedad | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Milan vs Atalanta | Asian handicap · Atalanta +0.75 Closing main line Atalanta +0.75 | 49% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Milan vs Atalanta | Over / under · Under 3 Closing main line Under 3 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK | Asian handicap · Başakşehir -0.75 Closing main line Başakşehir -0.75 | 57% | Lean | Half win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 54% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus | Asian handicap · Aarhus +1 Closing main line Aarhus +1 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 19, 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladbach vs Hoffenheim | Asian handicap · Gladbach +0.25 Closing main line Gladbach +0.25 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladbach vs Hoffenheim | Over / under · Under 3.75 Closing main line Under 3.5 · Line moved | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Forest vs Arsenal | Asian handicap · Forest +1 Closing main line Forest +1 | 52% | Pass | Push |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Forest vs Arsenal | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorient vs Monaco | Asian handicap · Lorient +0.5 Closing main line Lorient +0.5 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lorient vs Monaco | Over / under · Over 2.5 Closing main line Over 2.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Havre vs Auxerre | Asian handicap · Auxerre +0.25 Closing main line Auxerre +0.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Havre vs Auxerre | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paris FC vs Rennes | Asian handicap · Paris FC -0.25 Closing main line Paris FC -0.25 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paris FC vs Rennes | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK | Asian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.5 Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.5 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valerenga vs Brann | Asian handicap · Brann +0.25 Closing main line Brann +0.25 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Valerenga vs Brann | Over / under · Over 3.5 Closing main line Over 3.5 | 51% | Pass | Win |