THE OPEN RECORD
Platform record
Every handicap / spread and total call, including misses and passes, settled on the last pre-kick-off version
Last 180 days · 41 samples (lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls)
Hit rate
51.4%
41 samples · 95% interval 35.7%–66.8%
Current streak
1
Longest losing run
3
Last 180 days
Hit rate counts only lean / strong handicap / spread and total calls; a match’s handicap and total count as one call each; every call is settled on the last version before kick-off.
How it is counted
Hit rate = (hits + ½ × half wins) ÷ (hits + misses + ½ × half wins + ½ × half losses)
- Win counts as 1 hit
- Half win counts as ½ hit
- Loss counts as 1 miss
- Half loss counts as ½ miss
- Push not counted
- Void not counted
The current and longest streaks run in kick-off order: a half win counts as a hit, a half loss as a miss, and pushes and voids are skipped.
The daily recap and the day-by-day trend go by match day: 12:00 – 12:00 next day counts as one day.
Pass calls stay out of the hit rate but are listed one by one under History on the records page. The 95% interval next to the hit rate is a Wilson interval that counts half wins and half losses as half a call, like the hit rate itself; the fewer the calls, the wider it gets.
Settled picks by day
Lean / strong calls settled by match day, on the same basis as the hit rate; pass calls are in the history below
Oct 29Thu
1 matches · 1 picks · 1 hit · 0 missed · 0 pushHit rate 100%Oct 28Wed
2 matches · 2 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 0%Oct 26Mon
2 matches · 2 picks · 1 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 50%Oct 25Sun
1 matches · 1 picks · 0 hit · 1 missed · 0 pushHit rate 0%Oct 24Sat
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 23Fri
3 matches · 3 picks · 1 hit · 2 missed · 0 pushHit rate 33%Oct 22Thu
3 matches · 4 picks · 1 hit · 1 half won · 1 missed · 1 pushHit rate 60%- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHit
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Hoffenheim -0.75
- UELHoffenheim3 : 0LyonHalf win
UEL · Pre-match pick Over / under · Under 3.25
- UELLillestrom0 : 6Real SociedadMiss
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · Lillestrom +1.5
- UELOFI0 : 2LeverkusenPush
UEL · Pre-match pick Asian handicap · OFI +2
History 1,316 records after filtering
- Oct 25, 2026LossLiverpoolvsBrightonAsian handicap · Brighton +0.25 · 50%Pass
Closing main line Brighton +0.5 · Line moved
- Oct 25, 2026WinLiverpoolvsBrightonOver / under · Under 3.25 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 3 · Line moved
- Oct 25, 2026LossPalacevsNewcastleAsian handicap · Palace 0 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Palace 0
- Oct 25, 2026LossPalacevsNewcastleOver / under · Over 2.75 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 25, 2026WinHull CityvsBrentfordAsian handicap · Hull City +0.75 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Hull City +0.75
- Oct 25, 2026LossHull CityvsBrentfordOver / under · Over 2.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 25, 2026WinGenoavsVeneziaAsian handicap · Genoa -0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Genoa -0.25
- Oct 25, 2026WinGenoavsVeneziaOver / under · Under 2.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5
- Oct 25, 2026WinAtalantavsFrosinoneAsian handicap · Frosinone +0.5 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Frosinone +0.5
- Oct 25, 2026WinAtalantavsFrosinoneOver / under · Over 3.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.75 · Line moved
- Oct 25, 2026LossMonacovsLilleAsian handicap · Monaco -0.5 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Monaco -0.5
- Oct 25, 2026WinMonacovsLilleOver / under · Under 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.75
- Oct 25, 2026LossSturm GrazvsRiedAsian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.75 · 55%Pass
Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.75
- Oct 25, 2026LossSturm GrazvsRiedOver / under · Under 3.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 25, 2026Half lossPSV EindhovenvsFeyenoordAsian handicap · PSV Eindhoven -0.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line PSV Eindhoven -0.25
- Oct 25, 2026WinPSV EindhovenvsFeyenoordOver / under · Under 3.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.75
- Oct 25, 2026Half lossNEC NijmegenvsGroningenAsian handicap · NEC Nijmegen -0.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line NEC Nijmegen -0.25
Previously recommended Groningen +0.25 (Lean, Oct 24, 2026, 22:34) · Withdrawn
- Oct 25, 2026LossNEC NijmegenvsGroningenOver / under · Under 3.5 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.5
- Oct 25, 2026WinVikingvsTromsoAsian handicap · Viking -1 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Viking -1
- Oct 25, 2026LossVikingvsTromsoOver / under · Under 3.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 25, 2026LossAthleticvsGetafeAsian handicap · Getafe +1 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Getafe +1
- Oct 25, 2026LossAthleticvsGetafeOver / under · Under 2.25 · 51%Pass
Closing main line Under 2.5 · Line moved
Previously recommended Under 2.25 (Lean, Oct 25, 2026, 14:51) · Withdrawn
- Oct 25, 2026Half winFC ThunvsFC LuganoAsian handicap · FC Lugano -0.75 · 51%Pass
Closing main line FC Lugano -0.75
Previously recommended FC Lugano -0.5 (Lean, Oct 24, 2026, 21:59) · Withdrawn
- Oct 25, 2026LossFC ThunvsFC LuganoOver / under · Under 3.5 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.5
- Oct 25, 2026WinHJK HelsinkivsKuPSAsian handicap · KuPS +0.75 · 54%Pass
Closing main line KuPS +0.75
- Oct 25, 2026WinHJK HelsinkivsKuPSOver / under · Over 2.75 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Over 2.75
- Oct 25, 2026Half winFC MidtjyllandvsLyngbyAsian handicap · Lyngby +1.25 · 52%Pass
Closing main line Lyngby +1.25
- Oct 25, 2026LossFC MidtjyllandvsLyngbyOver / under · Under 3.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Under 3.25
- Oct 25, 2026LossSilkeborgvsFC NordsjaellandAsian handicap · FC Nordsjaelland -1 · 52%Pass
Closing main line FC Nordsjaelland -1
- Oct 25, 2026LossSilkeborgvsFC NordsjaellandOver / under · Over 3.25 · 53%Pass
Closing main line Over 3.25
| Date | Matches | Pick | Probability | Tier | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Liverpool vs Brighton | Asian handicap · Brighton +0.25 Closing main line Brighton +0.5 · Line moved | 50% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Liverpool vs Brighton | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3 · Line moved | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palace vs Newcastle | Asian handicap · Palace 0 Closing main line Palace 0 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palace vs Newcastle | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City vs Brentford | Asian handicap · Hull City +0.75 Closing main line Hull City +0.75 | 52% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hull City vs Brentford | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genoa vs Venezia | Asian handicap · Genoa -0.25 Closing main line Genoa -0.25 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Genoa vs Venezia | Over / under · Under 2.5 Closing main line Under 2.5 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta vs Frosinone | Asian handicap · Frosinone +0.5 Closing main line Frosinone +0.5 | 55% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta vs Frosinone | Over / under · Over 3.5 Closing main line Over 3.75 · Line moved | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Monaco vs Lille | Asian handicap · Monaco -0.5 Closing main line Monaco -0.5 | 54% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Monaco vs Lille | Over / under · Under 2.75 Closing main line Under 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Ried | Asian handicap · Sturm Graz -0.75 Closing main line Sturm Graz -0.75 | 55% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Ried | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord | Asian handicap · PSV Eindhoven -0.25 Closing main line PSV Eindhoven -0.25 | 53% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord | Over / under · Under 3.75 Closing main line Under 3.75 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen | Asian handicap · NEC Nijmegen -0.25 Closing main line NEC Nijmegen -0.25 Previously recommended Groningen +0.25 (Lean, Oct 24, 2026, 22:34) · Withdrawn | 52% | Pass | Half loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen | Over / under · Under 3.5 Closing main line Under 3.5 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viking vs Tromso | Asian handicap · Viking -1 Closing main line Viking -1 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Viking vs Tromso | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Athletic vs Getafe | Asian handicap · Getafe +1 Closing main line Getafe +1 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Athletic vs Getafe | Over / under · Under 2.25 Closing main line Under 2.5 · Line moved Previously recommended Under 2.25 (Lean, Oct 25, 2026, 14:51) · Withdrawn | 51% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Thun vs FC Lugano | Asian handicap · FC Lugano -0.75 Closing main line FC Lugano -0.75 Previously recommended FC Lugano -0.5 (Lean, Oct 24, 2026, 21:59) · Withdrawn | 51% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Thun vs FC Lugano | Over / under · Under 3.5 Closing main line Under 3.5 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | HJK Helsinki vs KuPS | Asian handicap · KuPS +0.75 Closing main line KuPS +0.75 | 54% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | HJK Helsinki vs KuPS | Over / under · Over 2.75 Closing main line Over 2.75 | 53% | Pass | Win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby | Asian handicap · Lyngby +1.25 Closing main line Lyngby +1.25 | 52% | Pass | Half win |
| Oct 25, 2026 | FC Midtjylland vs Lyngby | Over / under · Under 3.25 Closing main line Under 3.25 | 53% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland | Asian handicap · FC Nordsjaelland -1 Closing main line FC Nordsjaelland -1 | 52% | Pass | Loss |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland | Over / under · Over 3.25 Closing main line Over 3.25 | 53% | Pass | Loss |