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Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets

NBAFinished
Pacers
102:114Sun, Nov 08 06:00
Nuggets

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:10
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 08, 2026, 04:10

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Indiana Pacers have a net efficiency of -3.2 over the last 10 games, compared with Denver Nuggets at -4.6. Combined with the home scores of 108-104 and 114-109, this produces a slight lean toward the Indiana Pacers +7.5. The Pacers' 107.9 points per game and 104.8 offensive efficiency support the under on 229.5 total points, but the head-to-head average of 236 points and Denver's recent high-scoring performances limit the strength of that view.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 08, 2026, 04:10Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 07, 2026, 22:57View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

102 - 114

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadNuggets -7.5Win
Total pointsOver 229.5Loss

Review

Final score 102-114. point spread Nuggets -7.5 → win; total points Over 229.5 → loss.

Nov 08, 2026, 08:36