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New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

NBAFinished
Pelicans
109:115Sat, Nov 07 09:00
Timberwolves

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 07:14
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The pick and probability for all 2 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 07, 2026, 07:14

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Over the last 10 games the Pelicans' offensive efficiency is 114.9 and net efficiency -0.5 versus the Timberwolves' 106.9 and -2.2, but the Timberwolves' 109.1 defensive efficiency and head-to-head advantage offset part of the support for the home team covering +3.5. The teams' pace figures of 106.9 and 103.6 and the head-to-head average total of 256 support a higher total, but the Timberwolves' recent defense and score results provide counter-evidence, so both markets are currently listed as neutral.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 07, 2026, 07:14Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 06, 2026, 23:14View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

109 - 115

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadPelicans +3.5Loss
Total pointsOver 230.5Loss

Review

Final score 109-115. point spread Pelicans +3.5 → loss; total points Over 230.5 → loss.

Nov 07, 2026, 11:51