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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 07:45
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 05, 2026, 07:45

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Houston’s net efficiency over its last 10 games was 6.4 and Minnesota’s was -8.6, but both figures include 5 games from the prior season, and recent head-to-head results do not support a clear lean toward Houston covering 7.5 points. Houston’s 96.1 pace conflicts with Minnesota’s 104.7 pace, leaving evidence on both sides of the 219.5 total, so the point spread and total points remain neutral.

Per-market leans and evidence unlock with membership or pointsBack to unlock ↑

Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Update (2h before)Nov 05, 2026, 07:45Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 04, 2026, 23:32View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

107 - 117

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadTimberwolves +7.5Win
Total pointsUnder 219.5Loss

Review

Final score 107-117. point spread Timberwolves +7.5 → win; total points Under 219.5 → loss.

Nov 05, 2026, 12:21