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New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz

NBAFinished
Pelicans
120:113Thu, Nov 05 09:00
Jazz

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 04, 2026, 23:17
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The pick and probability for all 2 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 04, 2026, 23:17

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The Pelicans' offensive efficiency of 114.5 exceeded the Jazz's 104.7, and the team-form comparison supports the Pelicans, but both last-10-game samples include 6 games from the prior season, so -5.5 is retained as neutral. The 233.5 total points line is affected by both teams' faster pace and Utah's recent totals of only 97 and 90 points, leaving total points neutral as well.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 3Update (2h before)Nov 05, 2026, 07:13View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 05, 2026, 03:34View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 04, 2026, 23:17Current

    Direction unchanged