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Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics

NBAFinished
109:93Tue, Nov 03 09:30

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 4 · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 07:48
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Market verdicts

Version 4 · Update (2h before) · Generated Nov 03, 2026, 07:48

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The away team's offensive efficiency over the past 10 games was 113.3, with a net efficiency of 6 and 111.5 points per game, all higher than the home team's 107.5, 3.1, and 107.4, so the point spread leans slightly toward the away team. For total points, both teams' most recent games were unders, but the historical head-to-head average was 218 total points and the away team has the higher offensive efficiency, so the under is only a low-intensity lean.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 03, 2026, 07:48Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 03, 2026, 03:32View this version

    Direction or tier changed

    Version differences unlock with membership or points

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 09:42View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

109 - 93

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadCeltics +4.5Loss
Total pointsOver 216Loss

Review

Final score 109-93. point spread Celtics +4.5 → loss; total points Over 216 → loss.

Nov 03, 2026, 12:06