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Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards

NBAFinished
Magic
94:103Tue, Nov 03 08:30
Wizards

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 2 · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 09:41
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Market verdicts

Version 2 · Odds move rerun · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 09:41

Data completeness 87%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

Orlando's net efficiency over its last 10 games is -8.2, better than Washington's -14.7. Combined with Washington's road performance, this supports a slight lean toward Orlando covering 1.5 points. Orlando's 100.1 points per game and 98.5 pace support the under at 226.5 points, but the head-to-head average of 238.25 points per game provides contrary evidence. Each team's last 10 games also include 7 games from prior seasons, limiting the strength of the overall judgment.

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Analysis versions (2)
  1. Version 2Odds move rerunNov 02, 2026, 09:41Current

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 08:48View this version

    Direction unchanged

Settlement & review

Result

94 - 103

MarketPickOutcome
Point spreadWizards +1.5Win
Total pointsUnder 224.5Win

Review

Final score 94-103. point spread Wizards +1.5 → win; total points Under 224.5 → win.

Nov 03, 2026, 11:06