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Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls

NBAFinished
76ers
126:107Tue, Nov 03 08:30
Bulls

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  • Point spreadPublished
  • Total pointsPublished
  • Version 1 · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 08:44
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The pick and probability for all 2 markets, the chief's verdict, the red-team challenges, and the advanced data panel
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Market verdicts

Version 1 · Initial (pre-match) · Generated Nov 02, 2026, 08:44

Data completeness 68%
Point spreadPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
Total pointsPublished
Pick and probability after unlock
How do I read these numbers?
  • Verdict probability: the chief's final chance for this pick after weighing every analyst.
  • Market implied: the probability behind the market consensus odds with the margin removed — what the market thinks.
  • Edge: verdict probability minus market implied; a positive number means we rate the pick higher than the market does.
  • Evidence grade (1–5 stars): computed by code from the gap, agreement with the model, the verified share of the factor ledger and data completeness, not a hit rate — four stars does not mean it lands eight times in ten.
  • Tier: enough edge and evidence grade make a Strong pick, then Lean, otherwise Pass; score and goal-band calls only carry probabilities, with no stars or tier.

Analyst views

Summary

The home team's recent wins by 109-104, 98-93, and 114-109 provide limited support for an 11.5-point spread, while the Bulls' defensive efficiency of 117.6 and net efficiency of -11.6 constitute reverse evidence, leaving the point spread neutral for now. For the 238 over/under, the contrasting paces of the home team at 96.1 and the Bulls at 108.7, together with the inclusion of 7 prior-season games in both last-10-game samples, also provide no clear direction.

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Analysis versions (3)
  1. Version 4Update (2h before)Nov 03, 2026, 06:56View this version

    Direction unchanged

  2. Version 3Odds move rerunNov 03, 2026, 01:32View this version

    Direction unchanged

  3. Version 1Initial (pre-match)Nov 02, 2026, 08:44Current

    Direction unchanged